Consensus EPS Growth Estimates Consensus forecasts suggest a resilient corporate sector, with S&P 500 EPS expected to grow by 7% in 2025 and accelerate to 14% in 2026, reflecting optimism despite economic uncertainties. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Discretionary Equity Positioning and S&P 500 EPS Growth At current levels, discretionary investors are factoring in continued strong earnings growth for the S&P 500, with no signs of a slowdown. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Consensus EPS Growth Estimate Following the initial Magnificent Seven earnings report on April 22, analysts revised full-year earnings estimates upward by 1.8% for the Magnificent Seven, but downward by 0.8% for the other 493 companies in the S&P 500. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
S&P 500 Quarterly YoY EPS Growth Relative to Consensus Expectations S&P 500 Q1 2025 earnings growth has substantially outpaced initial expectations, driven by robust results from key sectors and widespread positive surprises. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – Consensus Forward P/E vs. Expected EPS Growth The P/E premium reflects higher expected EPS growth, supported by a strong current correlation between EPS growth forecasts and P/E multiples. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
EPS Growth Estimate Despite a downward revision, consensus 2025 EPS growth estimates still project strong earnings growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Equity EPS Growth Expectations U.S. equity EPS growth expectations are particularly strong, with analysts projecting double-digit growth in both 2025 and 2026, driven by economic expansion and technological advancements. Image: TS Lombard
S&P 500 EPS Growth Consensus estimates suggest that 72% of S&P 500 companies are projected to report EPS growth in 3Q24, reflecting a broader trend of improving earnings outlooks across various sectors. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
EPS Growth – Political Party and S&P 500 Profits Cycle While election results can impact markets in the short term, the underlying profitability of companies is a stronger driver of stock prices over time. Image: BofA US Equity & US Quant Strategy
Global Composite PMI and EPS Growth The Global Composite PMI serves as a leading indicator for EPS growth, with its trends providing insights into future corporate earnings performance. Image: J.P. Morgan
Earnings – S&P 500 LTM EPS Growth YoY According to Morgan Stanley’s leading earnings indicator, the outlook for S&P 500 EPS over the next 12 months is positive, suggesting a potential rise in profitability. Image: Morgan Stanley Research