Search Results for: Fed rate cut

Probability of Fed Rate Cut After the CPI data release, traders now estimate an 82.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut at the FOMC meeting on December 18, 2024. Image: CME GRoup

S&P 500 Pre and Post Fed Rate Cuts The performance of the S&P 500 following the Fed’s first rate cut has historically been robust, but this trend is closely tied to the state of the U.S. economy, particularly regarding the risk of recession. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Market Pricing of Fed Rate Cuts BofA expects the Fed to cut another 75bp this year, consistent with market pricing, particularly in light of recent economic conditions and the Fed’s recent decision to cut rates by 50bp. Image: BofA Global Research

Number of Trading Days Since Last Fed Rate Cut The Fed’s recent decision to cut interest rates for the first time in four years, in response to changing economic conditions, marks the second-longest wait for such a reduction in history. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

Fed Rate Cuts Goldman Sachs forecasts a series of 25bp interest rate cuts through mid-2025, aimed at supporting economic growth amid fluctuating inflation rates. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Factor Performance Prior and After the First Fed Rate Cut Historically, the first rate cuts by the Federal Reserve during easing cycles have tended to favor Growth over Value, Small over Large, and Bonds over Stocks. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

Small-Cap Stocks Relative Performance vs. Large-Cap Stocks Around the First Fed Rate Cut Small-caps often outperform large-caps in the 6 months following the first Fed rate cut, driven by lower interest rates and a market preference for smaller companies during economic recoveries. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy

Median Index Returns Following First Fed Rate Cut Historically, midcaps have outperformed the S&P 500 and the Russell 2000 in the three and twelve months following the initial Federal Reserve rate cut. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

10-Year/2-Year Treasury Yield Curve Around First Fed Rate Cuts The U.S. yield curve typically steepens once the prospect of interest rate cuts by the Fed becomes more imminent, rather than when the Fed actually stops hiking rates. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 After Initial Fed Rate Cuts Outside Of Recession Outside of recessions, U.S. stocks have tended to rise after the Fed’s first rate cut, with an average gain of 15% within 12 months. Image: BofA Predictive Analytics

First Major Fed Rate Cut – U.S. CPI vs. Unemployment Rate Can the Fed cut interest rates in response to the bank crisis? Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management