Treasury QT

Treasury QT The current context suggests that QT can continue even as the Fed begins to cut interest rates, provided that these cuts do not push the policy rate below what is considered neutral. Image: Deutsche Bank

Annual Reduction in Fed Holdings from QT

Annual Reduction in Fed Holdings from QT The Fed plans to reduce its balance sheet at an annual rate of about $1.1 trillion. Image: BofA Global Research

10Y-3M Treasury Yield Spread Adjusted for QE and QT

10Y-3M Treasury Yield Spread Adjusted for QE and QT Adjusted for quantitative easing (QE) and quantitative tightening (QT), the 10-year minus 3-month yield curve may have inverted in December 2018. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management

S&P 500 – Secular Bull and Bear Markets

S&P 500 – Secular Bull and Bear Markets The strong performance of the S&P 500 in 2023 and 2024 could be seen as a clear indication of a more sustained secular bull market, potentially extending until the late 2020s and early 2030s. Image: BofA Global Research Click the Image to Enlarge

S&P 500 and Fed Balance Sheet

S&P 500 and Fed Balance Sheet Will QT have less impact on markets than investors expect? Image: Richardson Wealth

Why the US Stock Market Was Overvalued by 14.2% on Oct. 1, 2018 vs. 7.7% Today?

Why the US Stock Market Was Overvalued by 14.2% on Oct. 1, 2018 vs. 7.7% Today? Because the value of the forecast changes over time (blue dotted line). The US stock market short-term forecast (S&P 500 with dividends reinvested) for the next 12 months is available to our subscribers. This great prediction model is updated daily.…

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