Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total The concentration of the S&P 500 in its top 10 stocks has reached unprecedented levels, surpassing even those seen during the dot-com bubble. This trend raises concerns regarding market diversification and stability. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Ownership Breakdown of the U.S. Equity Market (Share of Corporate Equity Market) U.S. households hold 38% of the U.S. equity market, reflecting strong confidence in stocks. However, ownership is concentrated, with the wealthiest 10% owning about 93% of all stocks owned by households. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Sentiment – Risk Appetite and Expected U.S. Equity Market Performance In November, U.S. equity investors’ risk appetite surged to its highest level in nearly four years, reflecting a significant shift in sentiment as political uncertainties eased and the U.S. macroeconomic outlook improved. Image: S&P Global Market Intelligence
Valuation – U.S. Equity Market Capitalization to GDP The U.S. equity market cap to GDP ratio is near an all-time high at approximately 187%, suggesting a significant overvaluation of the U.S. stock market. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Do You Believe the Risk of an Equity Market Correction at Some Point Over the Next 3-6 Months Is High or Low? JPMorgan’s survey reveals that 82% of their clients anticipate a high likelihood of an equity market correction within the next 3-6 months. Image: J.P. Morgan
When Do You Expect the U.S. Equity Market Will Peak? 77% of financial advisors believe the bull market will continue beyond 2024, as they expect stellar corporate results, easy financial conditions, and lower interest rates to support its continuation. Image: BofA US Equity & Quant Strategy
Gold – Beta of USD/xxx to Equity Market Volatility Related to Government Spending Gold has been a very good hedge against debt ceiling worries in the past. Image: Deutsche Bank
Equity Market Volatility Related to Uncertainty over Government Spending Equity market volatility may spike when the debt ceiling is under discussion. Image: Deutsche Bank
Money Market Fund Assets as a Percent of S&P 500 Market Capitalization Cash on the sidelines is not elevated relative to the S&P 500 market capitalization. Image: Morgan Stanley Wealth Management
Total Equity Market Capitalization per Country The United States has the largest equity market capitalization in the world (over $41 trillion as of December 31, 2022). Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Annual Change in Global Equity Market Capitalization The global equity market capitalization has lost $30tn year-to-date. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research