U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yields Forecast Goldman Sachs forecasts the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield to hit 3.85% by end-2024, diverging from current futures market expectations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Gold Price Forecast Goldman Sachs has updated its forecast for gold prices, anticipating that the precious metal will hit US$3,000 per ounce by the end of 2025, a prediction that slightly diverges from futures market expectations. Image: Goldman Sachs
Forecast 10-Year Annualized S&P 500 Returns Based on the 10-year annualized total return forecast distribution, there’s a 72% likelihood that the S&P 500 will underperform Treasury bonds, and a 33% probability that equities will generate returns below inflation. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Annualized 10-Year Total Return Forecasts Goldman Sachs expects the S&P 500 to deliver an average annualized total return of 3% during the next 10 years, significantly below historical averages. This forecast reflects concerns over high equity valuations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Unemployment Rate The U.S. “job plentiful” index has experienced a significant decline, reaching its lowest level since 2017, which could signal broader economic challenges ahead. Image: Deutsche Bank
Fed Funds Forecast vs. Market Pricing While the Fed has made progress in the fight against inflation, BofA holds a significantly more hawkish view on Fed policy compared to market expectations. Image: BofA Global Research
U.S. Dollar Forecast BofA’s outlook suggests a continued decline of the U.S. dollar until the end of 2025, driven by anticipated interest rate cuts and changing global economic conditions. Image: BofA Global Research
Brent Crude Oil Price Forecast Goldman Sachs has lowered its forecast for Brent crude oil prices, projecting a trading range of $70 to $85 per barrel until the end of 2025, due to stable OPEC inventories, strong U.S. production, and weak demand from China. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Rates – 2-Year and 10-Year Treasury Yield Forecasts BofA forecasts the 10-year UST yield at 3.75% by year-end 2024, suggesting the possibility of a downward trend in borrowing costs, particularly if inflation continues to moderate and economic growth slows. Image: BofA Global Research
Rates and Dollar Forecast BofA expects the Fed to cut rates in September, adjusting its previous expectations. While market expectations for rate cuts have risen, the Fed hasn’t given a clear signal and will rely on data before making a decision. Image: BofA Global Research
Inflation Forecasts Deutsche Bank forecasts U.S. core PCE inflation to reach 2.0% by 2026, with U.S. core CPI projected at 2.4% and U.S. headline CPI at 2.4%. Image: Deutsche Bank