S&P 500 Average Returns in Bull Markets While the third year of a bull market often shows weakness, patient investors may find opportunities in years 4-6, as historical patterns suggest potential for continued growth. Image: Carson Investment Research
Market-Implied Change in Fed Funds Rate Traders are anticipating a total of 75 bps in interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve over the next 12 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index Investors are showing signs of excessive optimism, according to the Market Greed/Fear Index, which currently stands at a high 81.33. Image: Real Investment Advice
Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization S&P 500 Median Median short interest in the S&P 500 has dropped to 1.8%, a relatively low figure indicating that market participants are generally optimistic or, at least, not notably bearish about the index’s future performance. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It is a contrarian indicator. A bullish signal suggests that the U.S. stock market may go up, while a bearish signal…
Earnings Sentiment (Analyst Upgrades Minus Downgrades Across Markets) Earnings sentiment in the S&P 500 continues to improve, potentially setting the stage for continued market growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global Market Capitalization of All Equities The United States’ share of the global equity market has hit a record 66% of total capitalization, reinforcing Warren Buffett’s famous assertion: “It never pays to bet against America.” Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Different Market Sentiment Indicators Most market sentiment indicators currently reflect a risk-on attitude among investors, suggesting an optimistic outlook for financial markets in the near term. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Money Market Fund Assets U.S. money market funds usually see outflows within 12 months after the Fed’s first rate cut, as investors rebalance their portfolios and reassess risk in light of changing interest rates and market dynamics. Image: The Daily Shot
Percentage Change in S&P 500 in Previous Bull Markets The current bull market appears to be in its early stages, with historical data supporting the potential for significant gains in the coming months and years. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. IPO Market The GS IPO Issuance Barometer, which shows improvement, suggests that the U.S. IPO market could be ready for a robust recovery in 2025 after several years of decreased activity. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research