Equity, Bond, FX and Oil Volatility Premiums Volatility premiums have significantly declined across asset classes after the U.S. elections. As election results become known, market uncertainty diminishes, leading to lower volatility premiums and increased stability. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
WTI Crude Oil to Gold Ratio Gold shines as the best-performing asset of 2024 for those looking for stability and inflation protection, while oil faces significant challenges from shifting demand patterns. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Brent Crude Oil Prices Recent geopolitical tensions have led to significant fluctuations in Brent crude oil prices, marking the largest weekly increase since April, exacerbating inflation concerns as the rising energy costs ripple through the economy. Image: Deutsche Bank
U.S. Breakeven Inflation Rates vs. Oil U.S. breakeven inflation rates closely track oil prices, creating a complex challenge for the Federal Reserve as it navigates potential deflationary pressures in the coming months. Image: Real Investment Advice
Brent Crude Oil Price Forecast Goldman Sachs has lowered its forecast for Brent crude oil prices, projecting a trading range of $70 to $85 per barrel until the end of 2025, due to stable OPEC inventories, strong U.S. production, and weak demand from China. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
CTAs Allocation in Oil Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) maintain a neutral stance on oil at the moment. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Price of Oil Forecast In contrast to futures market’s expectations, Goldman Sachs forecasts a positive outlook for oil prices over the next 3 months. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Brent Oil Price Brent crude oil prices remain high relative to their levels five years ago, before the pandemic, reflecting past inflation’s impact. Image: J.P. Morgan
Global Oil Demand Growth BofA forecasts that global oil demand will continue to grow, but at a slower pace in the coming years, due to the increasing efficiency of energy technology. Image: BofA Global Research Estimates
Oil Prices and U.S. Recessions The elections in 2024 across highly populated countries could have significant implications for geopolitics and the global economy. Political leaders should work towards calming geopolitics to prevent a surge in oil prices. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy
Real Oil Price and U.S. Recessions While there has been a rebound in oil prices, they are still below the levels seen in 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research