S&P 500 Around Close Presidential U.S. Elections

S&P 500 Around Close Presidential U.S. Elections Election Day frequently serves as a catalyst for the S&P 500, with the index typically surging as political uncertainties give way to clarity. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. Presidential Election

U.S. Presidential Election Recent prediction market data shows Donald Trump leading Vice President Kamala Harris in the 2024 U.S. presidential race, despite close polling numbers. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 Around Close Presidential Elections

S&P 500 Around Close Presidential Elections A notable feature of past U.S. elections is the tendency for equity markets to pull back before the elections and rally afterward once policy uncertainties are resolved. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Annualized S&P 500 Performance by President

Annualized S&P 500 Performance by President Under both Democratic and Republican administrations, the S&P 500 has generally trended upward over the long term, frequently posting double-digit gains during presidential terms. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 and Odds of Winning U.S. Presidential Election

S&P 500 and Odds of Winning U.S. Presidential Election The rising odds for Trump in prediction markets have been closely tied to an upswing in S&P 500 prices, reflecting investor sentiment that aligns with potential changes in economic policy should he win the election. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 Monthly Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 4

S&P 500 Monthly Returns and Percentage of Time Up – Presidential Cycle Year 4 Seasonality provides valuable insights into stock market trends. Historically, after experiencing weaknesses in September and October during election years, the S&P 500 tends to rebound with strong returns in November and December. Image: BofA Global Research

U.S. Presidential Approval Rating vs. Unemployment Rate

U.S. Presidential Approval Rating vs. Unemployment Rate Even though the labor market is solid and the economy is growing, President Biden’s approval rating remains low, largely due to public unease over high inflation. Image: BofA Global Investment Strategy