S&P 500 Average Returns in Bull Markets While the third year of a bull market often shows weakness, patient investors may find opportunities in years 4-6, as historical patterns suggest potential for continued growth. Image: Carson Investment Research
Total Return Performance of Various Assets Despite Warren Buffett’s skepticism towards gold as an investment, the precious metal has outperformed both U.S. equities and U.S. Treasury bonds over the past 25 years. Image: Deutsche Bank
U.S. Stock Returns Over the Past Presidential Terms Starting on Election Day During President Biden’s tenure, U.S. stocks have surged by 76% starting on election day, reinforcing historical data suggesting that Democratic administrations often correlate with stronger market performance compared to their Republican counterparts. Image: Carson Investment Research
Real Returns for U.S. Dollar-based Assets by Quarter Century While there have been periods of volatility and negative returns, real stock market returns over the past 25 years have been positive and in line with long-term historical averages. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Annualized Return per Day U.S. stocks have exhibited a pattern of strong performance on Thursdays and Fridays in 2024. The S&P 500’s significant Friday gains indicate investors’ positive sentiment and willingness to hold positions over the weekend. Image: Carson Investment Research
Performance Based on Congress Makeup – Average S&P 500 Index Annual Return Historically, a split Congress has frequently led to favorable U.S. stock market performance, as investors often view the reduced policy risk and increased stability of divided government positively. Image: Carson Investment Research
Post-Election Day S&P 500 Returns While investors have responded positively to the election results, the true effects of new policies remain uncertain. The market’s robust performance is based on expectations, not realized economic outcomes. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Returns When Up >17.5% After the First 10 Months of Year Historically, when the S&P 500 has been up more than 17.5% year-to-date going into November, the final two months of the year have never seen a decline, with an average gain of 6%. Image: Carson Investment Research
Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500 November is typically one of the strongest months for U.S. stocks, driven by seasonal trends, holiday shopping expectations, year-end adjustments, positive earnings, and a general sense of optimism as the year closes. Image: Topdown Charts
S&P 500 Returns After the Election The U.S. stock market has shown a notable tendency to perform well following presidential elections. In fact, after the last ten elections, stocks have increased in value nine times, with a median gain of 17.2% one year later. Image: Carson Investment Research
MSCI Cyclicals/Defensives Return During anticipated economic expansions, investors lean towards cyclical stocks for their growth potential, while defensive stocks serve as a buffer during economic downturns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research