Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment At 62, the Fear & Greed Index is firmly in “Greed” territory, signaling optimism and a greater willingness to take risks among market participants. Image: Cable News Network
Buybacks – Announced Share Repurchases for S&P 500 Companies In 2025, U.S. companies are announcing record share buybacks, aiming to return cash to shareholders, stabilize stock prices, and boost earnings per share, as they navigate…
S&P 500 and Combination of Forward PE, VIX, Bullish Sentiment Combining the forward P/E ratio, VIX, and bullish sentiment, the Euphoriameter indicator peaked in November 2024 and has since declined, indicating a move from extreme…
S&P 500 Intra-Year Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns The S&P 500 delivered positive annual returns in 34 out of 45 years, despite average intra-year declines of 14.1%, underscoring the value of a long-term investment approach…
Magnificent 6 (ex. NVDA) vs. S&P 493 Quarterly EPS YoY Growth The gap in EPS growth between mega-cap tech and the S&P 493 widened during 1Q 2025, as strong tech earnings and upward revisions contrasted…
Probability of U.S. Recession Calculated from the Yield Curve The probability of a U.S. recession in 12 months, calculated from the yield curve, stands at 26.3% in April. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland
Nominal GDP as % World for Important Countries/Regions The Global South is rapidly emerging as the primary driver of global demographic and economic growth. For investors and businesses, it presents expanding markets and new opportunities…
Equity Sector Flows Despite continued optimism about AI-driven growth in the medium term, the technology sector has recently experienced outflows. Image: J.P. Morgan Equity Derivatives Strategy
U.S. Real GDP Growth Goldman Sachs forecasts US GDP growth of 1.6% in 2025, slightly above the consensus of major forecasters, and 1.5% in 2026. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Dollar Exposure of Currency Hedge Funds Hedge funds have significantly increased their bearish bets against the U.S. dollar, reflecting widespread expectations that the dollar will weaken further against other major currencies. Image: J.P. Morgan
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It…