ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day While bears are crucial for balancing the market, let’s face it: they’re secretly green with envy when bulls are having all the fun during a rally! Happy Friday, Everyone! 😎

Volatility – U.S. Options Expiration The expiration of $4.7tn in options notional may lead to increased market volatility and price movements, driven by heightened trading activity, shifts in trader sentiment, and the mechanics in option…

The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the U.S. In February, the U.S. Leading Economic Index (LEI) fell by 0.3%, reflecting persistent economic challenges for the U.S. economy. Image: The Conference Board

S&P 500 and Combination of Forward PE, VIX, Bullish Sentiment The Euphoriameter indicator, which combines forward P/E, VIX, and bullish sentiment, peaked in November 2024 and has been declining since, reflecting a shift in investor…

S&P 500 Annual Highs Per Month While the S&P 500 has fallen into a 10% correction since its peak in February, it’s premature to conclude that this represents the peak for the year 2025. Historically,…

U.S. Equity Flows The S&P 500’s correction has not only affected market performance but also altered individual investors’ behavior, with many refraining from “buying the dip” due to increased caution amid economic and market uncertainties.…

Historical S&P 500 Returns Based on GDP Growth and Real Rates Can investors expect a +8% total return for the S&P 500 this year? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Number of Days from 52 Week High of S&P 500 to Correction (-10%) Level The current market correction stands out for its swift onset. Among 60 corrections since 1928, this one ranks as the 11th…

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day As the Fed leaves rates unchanged and tariff concerns persist, bulls are navigating markets like a plane battling turbulent skies—holding firm and hoping for a break in the storm! Have…

U.S. FCI Impulse on GDP Growth While tightening financial conditions may pose some challenges, the overall impact on U.S. economic growth in 2025 and 2026 is expected to be modest. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…

Tariffs Impact on YoY U.S. GDP Growth Goldman Sachs forecasts that tariffs will reduce U.S. GDP growth by approximately 0.8 percentage points over the next year, with tax cuts and regulatory easing only offsetting 0.1…