ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day The S&P 500 took a dive last week with a 1.94% loss. It seems bulls are feeling a bit under the weather—maybe too much partying at market highs! Have a…

GS U.S. Financial Conditions Index Recent U.S. financial conditions have tightened, which could potentially act as a headwind for economic growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Rolling 12-Month % Change in the S&P 500 An economic slowdown or a hawkish pivot from the Fed could have a substantial impact on U.S. equities, potentially causing declines even if a recession does not…

Systematic Equity Positioning Current systematic equity positioning is at the 90th percentile, indicating high equity exposure. This could result in limited upside potential, elevated risk levels, and an increased likelihood of market reversal. Image: Deutsche…

S&P 500 Equity Risk Premium The current equity risk premium suggests that investors might find U.S. Treasury bonds more appealing than U.S. equities. Image: Bloomberg

Global Equities Around Fed Cut With And Without Recession Typically, global equities exhibit strong performance following the Fed’s first rate cut, when the economy avoids a recession in the subsequent 12 months. Image: Goldman Sachs…

Implied Probability of S&P 500 Drawdown The current environment poses an increased risk of a U.S. equity drawdown exceeding 20% over the next 12 months and 10% over the next 3 months, with a notable…

Different Market Sentiment Indicators Market sentiment indicators are signaling a risk-on attitude among investors, highlighting their increasing willingness to embrace riskier assets in today’s economic landscape. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Quarterly EPS Deutsche Bank projects that S&P 500 earnings growth will increase from 8.7% year-over-year in Q3 to 12.8% in Q4, aligning with the low double-digit growth typically seen outside of recessions. Image:…

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day The S&P 500 took a nosedive of 1.94% this week, leaving bears popping champagne while bulls search for their lost party hats, wondering if the market will continue to slide…

Stocks – High Quality Relative Earnings Revisions Breadth and High Quality Factor Relative Performance In a late-cycle market, investors looking for stability might find high-quality stocks appealing, given their historical ability to provide robust protection…