S&P 500 Performance The S&P 500 is on track to experience its worst quarter since 2023, as escalating trade tensions and economic uncertainties weigh heavily on investor sentiment. Image: Bloomberg

Investor Sentiment (Retail & Institutional Composite) vs. S&P 500 Index Markets typically reach their correction lows when combined investor sentiment is extremely negative, setting the stage for a potential rebound. Image: Real Investment Advice

Conference Board 1-Year Expectation Stock Prices Increase vs. S&P 500 The Conference Board’s latest Consumer Confidence survey reveals the sharpest two-month drop in stock market expectations—a level of pessimism that historically signals a contrarian buying…

U.S. Share of Global Equity Market The U.S. share of the global equity market, while still dominant at 54%, has retreated from its peak of 57%, reflecting recent market turbulence and growing diversification concerns. Image:…

S&P 500 E-Mini Futures (ES1) Liquidity Thinning liquidity in financial markets exacerbates downside risks by increasing the likelihood of abrupt and severe price movements, particularly during economic or geopolitical shocks. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With the S&P 500 index down 2.88% YTD, bears are feeling pretty smart. Meanwhile, bulls are like, “Did you see the 3.45% gain over the last 9 trading days? Party…

What Do You Think the Probability of There Being a U.S. Recession in the Next 12 Months Is? Deutsche Bank’s survey of 400 financial professionals worldwide indicates an average 43% expectation of a U.S. recession…

COMEX Copper Price The Trump administration may impose 25% copper import tariffs within weeks, sparking market volatility as traders rush shipments to the U.S., driving copper prices to record highs. Image: The Daily Shot

Net Bullish Sentiment vs. S&P 500 Index The current extreme bearish sentiment, historically linked to market bottoms, suggests the potential for a reflexive rally rather than signaling an impending downturn. Image: Real Investment Advice

U.S. High Yield Corporate Bond Spreads While tight high-yield credit spreads generally reflect robust market confidence, they can also serve as a warning of excessive investor complacency. Given this dual nature, it’s crucial to monitor…

CEO Confidence CEO optimism and equity market performance are closely linked, with market downturns frequently leading to decreased executive confidence and reduced capital investment plans. Image: Deutsche Bank