U.S. Economic Surprise Index A declining U.S. Economic Surprise Index, caused by economic data consistently underperforming expectations, can negatively impact equity performance. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Fed Funds Rate – Target Probabilities at the Fed’s FOMC Meeting Traders currently see a 39.8% probability of a 25-bps rate cut at the FOMC meeting on May 7, 2025. Image: CME Group

S&P 500 Performance After Two 90% Advancing Issues in a Row Since 1980, two consecutive days with 90% advancing issues in the S&P 500 have delivered a median return of 16.5% over the following 12…

Mega-Cap Growth & Tech Positioning The sharp decline in the positioning of mega-cap growth and tech stocks, now at the 33rd percentile, highlights a significant reduction in investors’ appetite for risk. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Bears are preparing for the apocalypse, while bulls are partying like it’s 1999, convinced the U.S. economy is recession-proof—until it isn’t! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎

GS U.S. Financial Conditions Index Excluding the effects of the equity market downturn, U.S. financial conditions demonstrate resilience, suggesting a favorable environment for economic growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Gold Adjusted for Inflation Despite gold’s recent rally to $3,000 per ounce in 2025, which happened more quickly than most analysts anticipated, it remains significantly below its all-time inflation-adjusted peak of approximately $3,800 per ounce,…

SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust Three-Month 90/110 Implied Volatility Signs of stability are emerging in the S&P 500 Index after the sharp correction, as traders abandon bets on further significant declines, reflecting growing confidence in…

S&P 500 Returns After Quickest Moves into a Correction The S&P 500 experienced one of its fastest 10% corrections from an all-time high within a month. Since 1950, it has always been higher 3 and…

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Saint Patrick’s Day brings smiles to bulls as it’s not only one of the greenest days of the year but also historically the best day for U.S. stocks in March—leaving…

Combined AAII & II Sentiment For contrarian investors, the current bearish sentiment indicated from the American Association of Individual Investors (AAII) and Investors Intelligence (II) surveys could signal a potential bullish opportunity. Image: Topdown Charts