ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day As U.S. stocks tumble, bears are writing eulogies for the market. Bulls, on the other hand, are buying the dip like there’s no tomorrow, which is ironically what bears foresee!…

Probability of U.S. Recession As Priced Across Asset Classes Concerns over tariffs and potential layoffs are driving up the likelihood of a U.S. recession. Investors are reflecting this sentiment, with the S&P 500 pointing to…

S&P 500 Valuations Valuations don’t matter—until they do. Prolonged periods of high valuations can lead to lower future returns, so investors should approach them with caution. Image: Topdown Charts

Deviation of Earnings Above/Below Long Term Growth Trend The widening gap between current earnings forecasts and historical growth patterns is raising concerns among some investors about the sustainability of these optimistic projections. Image: Real Investment…

Average Year for the S&P 500 the Past 20 Years Bulls have reason to smile, as March 12 has marked notable market bottoms for U.S. stocks over the past two decades, and from that point,…

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day February’s CPI inflation drops to 2.8%, beating the 2.9% forecast. On CPI days, bulls are like kids in a candy store, while bears sit in the corner, sulking like they…

Inflation – U.S. 10-Year Breakeven Rate The declining U.S. 10-year breakeven inflation rate indicates that market participants expect inflation to moderate, aligning with the Fed’s 2% long-term target. Image: The Daily Shot

The Worst Day of the Year for the S&P 500 When It Gains >20% for the Year Monday saw the S&P 500 drop 2.7%, its worst day this year. Even in years with strong returns…

U.S. ETF and Mutual Fund Flows Investors continue to show a strong appetite for U.S. money market funds as a safe and attractive option amid ongoing market volatility and high short-term interest rates. Image: Goldman…

Valuation – 12-Month Forward P/E Ranges (MSCI Regions) Despite the market sell-off, the S&P 500 continues to trade significantly above its 20-year historical median. These elevated valuations may increase the risk of lower returns in…

Annual U.S. Payroll Employment Growth in the Month Before Each Post-War Recession The recent slowdown in U.S. job creation is concerning, as it nears levels typically seen before economic downturns. Image: Paulsen Perspectives