S&P 500 – Consensus Year-End Target Wall Street strategists are reevaluating their bullish projections for the S&P 500 as the index struggles in early 2025. Despite an average year-end forecast of 6,511.36, the benchmark is…
Seasonality – S&P 500 Returns in March Since 1950, the second half of March has tended to be favorable for U.S. stocks. This historical pattern, combined with the fact that March marks the end of…
S&P 500 vs. High-Grade U.S. Bonds vs. Junk U.S. Bonds While U.S. stocks generally have higher long-term returns, the current economic climate may favor junk U.S. bonds as a more stable investment option amidst fears…
S&P 500 Options: % of S&P 500 Listed Volume Expiring within 24 Hours Trading activity in ultra-short-term S&P 500 options, expiring within 24 hours, has skyrocketed to record levels as investors chase rapid profits, amplifying…
Volatility – Return vs. VIX While a higher VIX indicates increased market uncertainty, it can also present opportunities for investors to achieve better average returns by strategically navigating the volatility. Image: Alpine Macro
Forward 10-Year Real Returns and CAPE Valuations While markets can sustain high CAPE ratios for extended periods, history suggests these elevated valuations often precede eras of subdued stock returns. Image: Real Investment Advice
Equal-Weight vs. Aggregate S&P 500 Annualized 10-Year Returns Given the high concentration in today’s S&P 500, long-term investors may benefit from considering an equal-weight strategy in the current market environment. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
MSCI Ex-US Developed World Stock Price Index Relative to MSCI US Stock Price Index vs. US Real Dollar Index There is often an inverse relationship between the U.S. dollar and international stock markets, meaning that…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day The S&P 500 index is down 2.43% year-to-date, leaving bulls wondering if the bull market has a return policy. Meanwhile, bears seem to be having a bull-icious time! Happy Friday,…
Federal Funds Rate and ECB Deposit Rate Unlike the recent past, when inflation was high and interest rates were near zero, the Fed and ECB now have greater flexibility to cut rates if economic conditions…
S&P 500 Performance After Five Consecutive Days of a 1% Daily Move and All Above the 200-Day MA Historically, when the S&P 500 has experienced five consecutive days of 1% moves while remaining above its…