Implied Probability of S&P 500 Drawdown While the macroeconomic environment may still support U.S. equities, Goldman Sachs’ model indicates an increasing risk of a stock market correction in the next 3 months. Image: Goldman Sachs…
S&P 500 Performance When Higher in January and Lower in February Since 1950, when the S&P 500 has a positive January followed by a negative February, the index tends to finish the year strong, resulting…
Top Five Companies % of S&P 500 Market Capitalization The S&P 500 is experiencing unprecedented levels of concentration. While the concentration presents potential risks, the fundamentals of the top 5 companies remain strong, with elevated…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day U.S. stocks have followed their typical February pattern this year: gains in the first half, underperformance in the second. But don’t worry, this isn’t a call to “Make Bears Great…
Big Tech Capex Outlook A once-in-a-generation shift is underway with the current AI-driven capex boom. Hyperscalers are spearheading this transformation with enormous investments in AI infrastructure, with spending expected to reach $340 billion this year.…
U.S. Household Net Worth as % of Disposal Personal Income The AI boom has contributed to significant wealth growth in the U.S., but this growth has been highly unequal, with the vast majority of the…
Valuation – PEG Ratio between U.S. and Europe The widening PEG ratio gap suggests European stocks are currently offering more attractive valuations compared to their U.S. counterparts, based on their respective growth prospects. Image: Goldman…
S&P 500 Days of the Week Returns In 2025, U.S. stocks have shown a distinct pattern of performance across different trading days of the week, with Mondays and Fridays experiencing struggles while other weekdays have…
S&P 500 Trailing 4-Quarter Net Profit Margin (Excluding Financials) The S&P 500 net profit margins are at high levels. As AI adoption accelerates, it’s likely to have a transformative impact on profit margins across various…
DAX vs. S&P 500 Despite the German economy contracting for the second consecutive year, the DAX has shown impressive performance, highlighting the disconnect between stock market gains and economic realities. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…
Impact of Tariff Increases on the U.S. Effective Tariff Rate Goldman Sachs’ recent estimate suggests that the U.S. effective tariff rate could increase significantly under different reciprocal trade plan scenarios. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment…