S&P 500 Four-Year Presidential Cycle In 2025, the S&P 500 moved in step with the Presidential cycle, following the familiar rhythm that often sees U.S. stocks mark a breather in midterm years. Image: Carson Investment…
S&P 500 Performance Around First Fed Rate Cut When the economy stays firm, Fed rate cuts have a history of boosting stocks and the S&P 500’s current run is no exception. Image: TS Lombard
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History U.S. equities are hardly a bargain at 22 times forward earnings for the S&P 500 and 27 for the Nasdaq 100, but investors appear ready to pay up…
Consolidated Equity Positioning At the 68th percentile, consolidated equity positioning remains slightly overweight but far from excessive, leaving room for potential upside. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Sectors Positioning (High Frequency) Positioning in mega-cap growth and tech has eased as some investors took profits and rotated into other corners of the market, but the broader growth story remains intact. Image: Deutsche Bank…
Spot Gold Are you entertained? Gold hit fresh record highs after Trump rattled markets with threats of new tariffs on Europe, part of his renewed Greenland push that has revived talk of a looming U.S.–EU…
Small Cap Equity Positioning Investor appetite for small-caps stays strong in early 2026, while positioning at the 63rd percentile leaves space for further upside. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Technical Composite A composite of technical breadth measures shows the S&P 500 looking overheated, leaving it vulnerable to a near-term pullback. Image: MarketDesk Research
Consensus EPS Growth Estimates Wall Street is riding a wave of optimism into 2026, with analysts betting on a 15% jump in S&P 500 earnings. But U.S. small caps could be the real story, with…
S&P 500 Annual Rate of Change vs. Annual Change in GAAP Earnings The S&P 500 usually moves with earnings, so grounding an investment strategy in profit growth and consistency in 2026 looks like a smart…
S&P 500 Total Returns After Crossing Into the 9th and 10th Deciles of Valuation U.S. equities have a history of pushing higher despite lofty valuations. While nervous talk of a tech bubble persists, analysts point…