S&P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year Markets are never a straight ride up. Since 1980, the S&P 500 has averaged double‑digit gains while dropping roughly 14% each year. Volatility is simply the cost…
S&P 500 Around Over 30 Major Geopolitical Events Since 1939 At current levels, the S&P 500 has slipped slightly more than its typical reaction to geopolitical shocks. If history holds true, could some calm return…
Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning sits in the 23rd percentile, firmly underweight. A full de-escalation could spark a rebound in positioning, opening space for further upside as sentiment improves. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History With the Russell 2000 and Nasdaq 100 trading at 24 times forward earnings and the S&P 500 at 20, the market’s appetite for growth hasn’t faded. Image: Goldman…
AAII Sentiment Survey Bearish sentiment among U.S. retail investors dipped just below the halfway mark at 49.8%, but remains well above the long-term average. This is not surprising, given the uneasy market mood. Image: The…
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator is at -0.9, a level that generally points to muted S&P 500 gains over the following month. That’s not the kind of reading that…
When Do You Expect a Ceasefire to Be Reached Between the U.S. and Iran? Investors are largely treating the Middle East conflict as a temporary shock, with most expecting a U.S.-Iran ceasefire before the end…
Fed Funds Rate Markets are now pricing in a meaningful chance of a Fed rate hike in 2026, something that looked very unlikely at the start of the year. Image: MarketDesk Research
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 Confident in the earnings outlook, Goldman Sachs is sticking to its bullish view, expecting the S&P 500 to climb 12% to 7,600 this year, even as some bumps on…
U.S. Unemployment Rate and Recessions The unemployment rate moving above its three-year average has preceded every U.S. recession since 1950. The latest crossover came in June 2024. Since then, no recession has followed, raising questions…
S&P 500 Returns After Down >15% YTD and Comes Back to Up Double Digits History favors the bulls. Every time the S&P 500 has dropped more than 15% in a year and then roared back…