S&P 500 Performance After Eight Week Wins Streaks Up >12% An eight-week winning streak and a rise of more than 12% set the tone. Since 1950, U.S. stocks have followed up with a median 12-month…
Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning At 0.3, Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator sits near neutral. Historically, levels like this have preceded an average 0.8% gain in the S&P 500 over the next month. Image:…
Equity Positioning Overall equity positioning is in the 53rd percentile, slightly overweight, with crowding picking up in large caps, especially in tech. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Equity Valuation Metrics (Z-Score Since 1900) U.S. stocks have moved decisively out of bargain territory. Valuations are rich, with most measures running over two standard deviations above history. “Cheap” is not in the market’s…
S&P 500 Weekly Announced Buybacks Buyback announcements are picking up across corporate America, pointing to healthy balance sheets and a greater appetite to spend surplus cash. That wave is supporting equities and keeping sentiment constructive.…
S&P 500 Performance Around Issuance Upcycles Past issuance waves tell a familiar story: they usually line up with strong U.S. equity performance, underpinned by steady buying interest. That pattern is tough to ignore in a…
Equity Fund Flows vs. S&P 500 EPS Growth Investors are pouring into equities on the back of solid earnings momentum. As long as earnings hold up, the trend should carry on. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…
S&P 500 Technical Composite A mix of technical breadth indicators shows the S&P 500 isn’t overheating yet, leaving room for further upside. It’s tough to argue the market is stretched when breadth still looks healthy.…
Volatility – VIX and SKEW Index The VIX–SKEW divergence is less about calm and more about caution. Volatility looks subdued, but the steady rise in SKEW suggests investors are quietly paying up for protection against…
Dow Jones Performance Under Various Federal Reserve Bank Chairs The Dow has performed well under Jerome Powell, delivering an annualized return of 8.4%, comfortably above the long-term average of 6.2%. That puts him 8th among…
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment With a reading of 58, the Fear & Greed Index is holding above neutral, signaling that bullish sentiment is still in play among market participants. Image: Cable News…