S&P 500 Performance 1-Year After Midterm Elections Midterm elections have been a reliable tailwind for stocks: the S&P 500 has risen over the following year every time since 1950, averaging a 14.8% gain. No doubt,…
Insider Transactions Ratio Corporate insiders are buying, pushing the Insider Transactions Ratio further into bullish territory and adding fuel to the rally. Image: Barron’s
S&P 500 Price Target for 2026 and 2027 Goldman Sachs still sees the S&P 500 climbing to 8,000 by year-end, 8,300 in six months and 8,700 within a year. Earnings growth, not higher valuations, is…
Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning Systematic strategies remain overweight, with positioning at the 85th percentile. Discretionary investors are still cautious, modestly underweight at the 32nd percentile, leaving significant room to add risk. Image: Deutsche Bank…
S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth S&P 500 earnings are expected to grow 34% year over year in Q3, a pace more typical of the early stages of an economic recovery. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
CTAs Exposure to Equities CTAs have trimmed equity exposure over the past month, but positioning remains elevated, at the 67th percentile. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Risk Appetite Indicator Level and Momentum Factors Goldman Sachs’ Risk Appetite Indicator has cooled from extreme levels, sitting just above neutral. Market participants are still engaged, but are growing more cautious. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Market Breadth – Percent Below 52-Week High S&P 500 Index Less Median Stock The S&P 500 is setting record highs, but market breadth is still deteriorating. The median stock now trades 16% below its peak,…
U.S. Share Buyback Authorization Announcements AI spending is grabbing attention, but buybacks are fueling the rally on Wall Street. U.S. companies have authorized a record $1.141 trillion in repurchases this year, providing strong support for…
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index At 56.28, the Greed and Fear Index remains in neutral territory, far from panic or euphoria. If markets hold steady through earnings season, investors could get a window…
S&P 500 – Length of Bull Markets and When They Started Born in October 2022, this bull market is now four years old. Bulls are smiling: over the past 50 years, every bull market to…