S&P 500 Index Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle In post-election years, Q1 tends to be weak. Q2 often shows stronger performance, while Q3 usually experiences some weakness. As the saying goes, “History…
Insider Transactions Ratio A sense of caution prevails among corporate insiders as the Insider Transactions Ratio remains in bearish territory. Image: Barron’s
Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning is recovering but remains below February levels and continues to be underweight at the 30th percentile, reflecting a cautious environment. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Bottom-Up Consensus S&P 500 EPS Estimates Bottom-up consensus estimates show S&P 500 EPS growth slowing to 4% year-over-year in Q2 2025, highlighting a cautious earnings environment amid ongoing revisions and sector challenges. Image: Goldman Sachs…
S&P 500 Index The S&P 500 sank earlier in the year due to AI concerns and tariff fears but rebounded impressively to reach record levels, as tariff fears abated, earnings remained strong, and geopolitical risks…
S&P 500 Buybacks S&P 500 companies continue robust buybacks at record levels in 2025, demonstrating strong capital deployment, with repurchases projected to exceed $1 trillion this year. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Sector P/E Valuations Relative to History Valuation metrics indicate that certain S&P 500 sectors remain persistently overvalued compared to both their historical averages and other sectors. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns Since 1950, the first half of July has consistently been a seasonally strong period for the S&P 500, making it the best half-month of the year. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
S&P 500 Target Goldman Sachs forecasts the S&P 500 to reach 6,100 by year-end and 6,500 within the next year, based on stronger economic growth, improved earnings prospects, and reduced risks related to trade tensions…
New S&P 500 Index All-Time Highs Per Year The S&P 500 hit a new record high, driven by robust corporate earnings and optimism about economic growth. Such periods of record-breaking performance typically occur in clusters…
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment A Fear & Greed Index of 65 shows the market leaning toward greed, with increased optimism and risk-taking, but it is still moderate and does not indicate extreme…