Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment At 30 on the Fear & Greed Index, caution dominates. Market participants are uneasy, but panic has yet to set in. Image: Cable News Network

U.S. Equity Valuation Metrics (Z-Score Since 1900) Valuations in U.S. equities remain extended, with most metrics running over two standard deviations above history. “Cheap” is largely a thing of the past, but stretched markets can…

S&P 500 vs. G10 Excess Liquidity Leading Indicator The decline in G10 excess liquidity into negative territory signals a tougher road ahead for U.S. stocks over the next six months. When liquidity dries up, equities…

AAII Sentiment Survey Even with the S&P 500 near record highs, U.S. retail investors are staying cautious. The AAII bull-bear spread is stuck in negative territory for the fourth consecutive week. That hesitation can be…

S&P 500 Index and Trend Channels What we are seeing in U.S. stocks looks more like consolidation than the start of a lasting downturn, with investors digesting recent gains and adjusting their outlook. Image: J.P.…

NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment At 79.27, the latest reading shows that active managers have eased back on U.S. equity optimism, pointing to a cooler but still confident market mood, neither overheated nor subdued.…

S&P 500 Technical Composite A composite of technical breadth indicators shows the S&P 500 is approaching oversold levels, increasing the odds of a short-term rebound. Attention now turns to whether buyers take control. Image: MarketDesk…

Indexed Return of Cyclicals vs. Defensives and Consensus Forward 4-Quarter U.S. GDP Growth Markets are leaning toward a steady growth outlook. The gap between cyclicals and defensives points to U.S. real GDP growth of about…

S&P 500 Annual vs. Intra-Year Returns The S&P 500 typically posts a 5% to 10% pullback at least once a year. With March already delivering a double-digit decline, the next dip may be more contained.…

Indexed Returns of AI-Related Portfolios vs. Equal-Weight S&P 500 Infrastructure has driven the AI rally, with chip giants, data center builders and cloud platforms capturing the upside while software and productivity names fall behind. Image:…

Global Share Buyback Announcements Global share buybacks show no signs of slowing, as steady earnings keep the pipeline full. For shareholders, that’s a supportive backdrop, and unless profits falter, the momentum looks durable. Image: J.P.…