S&P 500 Performance per Year of a 4-Year Presidential Cycle Midterm years usually test investors’ nerves, but history leans in favor of the bulls: U.S. stocks typically outperform in a President’s second term, averaging an…
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment U.S. stocks are pushing higher, but the Fear & Greed Index at 18 shows plenty of market participants remain skeptical, leaving room for the rally to stretch further.…
Consolidated Equity Positioning With consolidated equity positioning still underweight at the 39th percentile, markets have room to lean back into risk should optimism keep building. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning Risk appetite is picking up as both systematic strategies and discretionary investors boost exposure this week, creating a short‑term tailwind while positioning stays light enough to fuel further gains. Image:…
Sector ETF Flows ETF flows held strong as 2025 progressed, with another solid week for equity funds, while investors kept rotating from Financials to Healthcare. Image: Strategas Asset Management
Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500 Why do U.S. stocks shine in December? Historically, it’s when the Santa Claus rally shows up, delivering an average 1.2% gain since 1964 and finishing higher…
S&P 500 and Combination of Forward PE, VIX, Bullish Sentiment After a short-lived reset earlier this year, the Euphoriameter — a composite of forward P/E, VIX, and bullish sentiment — is rolling over again from…
S&P 500 Index and 50-Day Moving Average By reclaiming its 50-day moving average, the S&P 500 sends a strong technical signal that momentum is back on the bulls’ side and the rally may not be…
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment Active managers are running hot at 89.92, showing strong confidence in equities but not losing their heads to euphoria. The National Association of Active Investment Managers Exposure Index represents the two-week…
S&P 500 – 1997-2001 vs. Mid 2023-2025 Analog The S&P 500’s mid-2023 to 2025 bull market echoes the late-1990s dot-com meltup in both momentum and mood. For now, the trend remains intact, even as pockets…
S&P 500 Index Returns in November U.S. stocks bottomed on November 20, snapping back over the next three sessions. Late‑month trading in November tends to brighten sentiment and put fresh wind behind the market’s sails.…