Nasdaq-100 Win Streaks of 12 Days or More and Future Returns A 12-day winning streak has pushed the Nasdaq-100 into rare territory. History is on the bulls’ side with similar streaks leading to positive returns…
Excess CAPE Yield and Subsequent 10-Year Real Return The excess CAPE yield, which measures the gap between bond yields and the inverse of the P/E ratio, indicates that U.S. stocks look pricey, making now a…
Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment With the Fear & Greed Index at 63, markets are tilting toward greed. Not extreme yet, but spirited enough to keep the rally going. Image: Cable News Network
U.S. Stock Market Valuations – Combined P/E Ratio U.S. tech stocks still command a premium over the broader market, fueled by strong growth prospects, though that gap looks unlikely to close unless a recession shakes…
Rolling S&P 500 Change Over 11 Sessions It’s a rare burst of momentum: the S&P 500 has gained more than 10% in just 11 sessions, something that’s happened only 15 times this century. Moves like…
MSCI AC World EPS Analysts keep raising MSCI AC World EPS forecasts for 2026, betting that the AI and tech boom will keep driving real profit growth and wider margins, not just another round of…
AAII Sentiment Survey U.S. retail investors remain cautious. The AAII bull-bear spread has stayed in negative territory for a ninth straight week, even as the S&P 500 trades at all-time highs, a setup that typically…
U.S. Real GDP Growth Betting on the resilience of the U.S. economy, Goldman Sachs sees growth holding at 2.3% in 2026 and easing slightly to 2.0% in 2027, helped by tax cuts, easier financial conditions,…
NAAIM Exposure Index – Investor Sentiment At 79.49, the latest NAAIM Index shows active managers remain bullish on U.S. equities, confident but not euphoric, even as the S&P 500 hits a record high. Confidence without…
S&P 500 Index – Best and Worst Days For the S&P 500, the best and worst days often land right next to each other. Miss the best sessions and you leave returns on the table,…
S&P 500 Performance After Back-To-Back 3% Weekly Gains Another sign the bottom may be behind us: the S&P 500 has just posted back‑to‑back weekly gains of more than 3%. Since 1950, stocks have been higher…