U.S. Stock Market – Margin Debt and Free Cash Balances The record surge in margin debt reflects heightened risk-taking among investors. If retail enthusiasm persists, this trend may continue, but elevated margin debt levels could…
S&P 500 Bull Markets Over the past 50 years, five bull markets have lasted over two years, averaging 8 years and a 288% gain. At 28 months old and up 71%, the current bull market…
Consolidated Equity Positioning Equity positioning at the 79th percentile indicates that investor exposure to equities remains high but has eased slightly from recent peaks. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History Current valuations for tech and S&P 500 indexes exceed historical averages. While this doesn’t necessarily predict immediate declines, it suggests potentially lower future returns and increased vulnerability to…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day The S&P 500 may be breaking records, but bears are still singing the same old blues. Meanwhile, bulls are riding the market like there’s no tomorrow, which ironically, is what…
Spot Gold Gold prices have surged to a record high, driven by concerns surrounding U.S. President Donald Trump’s tariff policies. So far this year, the precious metal has increased by 12%. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits and Recessions In January, U.S. building rose to 1.483 million, above expectations. Historically, building permits tend to peak and then decline before recessions. Image: Federal Reserve…
Mega-Cap Growth & Tech Positioning The elevated positioning of mega-cap growth and tech stocks at the 95th percentile signals potential overconfidence and raises the risk of market pullbacks. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Profit Margin Profit margin growth in the S&P 500 is broadening, extending beyond mega-caps and the tech sector. This trend is expected to continue in 2025, indicating a healthier and more diverse market…
America’s Magnificent Seven Stocks The Magnificent Seven stocks have underperformed the S&P 500 year-to-date. This is a significant shift from the trend observed in recent years, where these stocks were the primary drivers of the…
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It…