S&P 500 Performance One Year After 5% Monthly Gains The bulls have history on their side. Since 1950, a May rally of more than 5% in the S&P 500, like this year, has been followed…

S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth The rally in stocks was not just about price action; it was powered by the strongest S&P 500 earnings growth in at least four years. When earnings drive the move,…

MSCI AC World EPS Analysts keep nudging up MSCI AC World EPS estimates for 2026 and 2027, betting the AI and tech boom will drive margins and profits rather than another wave of exuberant spending.…

Sector ETF Flows Money is piling into tech. Since the S&P 500’s March 30 low, roughly $25 billion has flowed into tech sector ETFs, while non-tech sector ETFs have seen about $4 billion in combined…

S&P 500 CAPE Ratio vs. U.S. Households Holding of Equities % Total Financial Assets When equity exposure is high and valuations are stretched, as they are today, the safety net disappears. History does not say…

New York Fed GDP Nowcast The New York Fed lifted its Q3 2026 U.S. GDP nowcast to 2.47% from 2.36% last week, still signaling a steady expansion. Image: Federal Reserve Bank of New York Click…

Number of U.S. IPOs 40 U.S. companies have gone public so far this year, while Goldman Sachs expects roughly 100 IPOs to raise about $160 billion in 2026. Geopolitical uncertainty and recent equity market volatility…

S&P 500 Performance – % Difference vs. the 200-DMA The S&P 500 is trading about 11% above its 200-day moving average, not far from past peaks. The further it stretches, the more vulnerable it becomes…

S&P 500 Index vs. 40-Week Moving Average The 40-week moving average offers a straightforward way to manage S&P 500 exposure. Add risk when the index trades above it. Trim risk when it falls below. Process…

S&P 500 Performance After Nine Week Wins Streaks A 9-week win streak tends to have legs. In 9 out of 10 cases, the S&P 500 has moved higher in the next month, suggesting June could…

Two-Month Change in the S&P 500 Since WWII Since WWII, two-month rallies of this magnitude in the S&P 500 have been rare, typically appearing either in the rebound from recessions such as the GFC and…