U.S. Household Equity Ownership vs. S&P 500 While robust economic data and investor optimism contribute to the U.S. equity market’s strength, the unprecedented level of equity allocation by households poses risks, leading to market corrections…
Bitcoin Annual Returns Over the past few years, Bitcoin has demonstrated a trend of three years of rising prices, followed by a significant decline in the fourth year. Can we expect this trend to continue…
S&P 500 Valuations According to a macro model developed by Goldman Sachs, U.S. equities are suggested to be overvalued by more than 40%, raising concerns among market participants about long-term sustainability and future market corrections.…
Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total The S&P 500’s concentration in its top 10 stocks has reached 38%, surpassing the 27% seen during the 2000…
Implied Fed Funds Target Rate The Fed has revised its 2025 projections, now anticipating only two rate cuts instead of four, with future reductions dependent on the progress made in managing inflation. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 and Stocks Above Their 20-Day Moving Average With only a small percentage of U.S. stocks trading above their 20-day moving average in a bull market, the S&P 500 index appears oversold, potentially signaling…
S&P 500 and Combination of Forward PE, VIX, Bullish Sentiment With bullish sentiment among investors in the U.S. stock market nearing an all-time high, we should start to include parachutes for the next monthly reports…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day With Bitcoin surpassing $100,000, bears are now on dating apps looking for a bull! Have a Great Day Everyone! 😎
U.S. New Private Housing Units Authorized by Building Permits and Recessions In November, U.S. building permits rose to 1.505 million, above expectations. Historically, building permits tend to peak and then decline before recessions. Image: Federal…
U.S. Real Retail Sales and Recession In November, U.S. real retail sales stand at 1.04% YoY. About 70% of U.S. GDP is personal consumption. In the past, real retail sales trended sideways before the recession…
U.S. Stock Market Bull and Bear Indicator Using multiple financial data, this great model helps investors navigate through different market conditions. It suggests whether the U.S. stock market tendency is bullish, bearish or neutral. It…