Different Market Sentiment Indicators Current sentiment indicators and market flows reflect resilient investor optimism and a clear preference for higher-risk assets. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Consolidated Equity Positioning With consolidated equity positioning at the 66th percentile—modestly overweight—stock markets could continue to rise. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
GS U.S. Financial Conditions Index Easing financial conditions drive U.S. growth by boosting spending and investment. Still, keeping a close eye on inflation risks remains essential. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Announced Share Repurchases (U.S. Buybacks) With strong earnings, abundant liquidity, and strategic capital allocation, 2025 is poised to be a landmark year for U.S. share buybacks, boosting both shareholder value and stock performance. Image: J.P.…
Nasdaq 100 Futures Positioning Despite recent profit-taking, asset managers and leveraged funds remain heavily net long in Nasdaq 100 futures, suggesting continued confidence in technology and growth stocks. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Fed Funds Rate Scenario Analysis In its baseline scenario, Goldman Sachs forecasts that the Fed will cut interest rates from 4.3% to 3.1% by the end of 2026. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Returns After Fed Interest Rate Cuts Resume When the Fed delivered just one or two rate cuts after pausing—seen in four different cycles—the U.S. economy was typically strong, with cyclical sectors such as…
Market-Implied Probability of a Recession Starting Within 1 Year and Market-Implied Probability of Being in a Recession The current market-implied probability of a U.S. recession within the next 12 months is 21%, a level slightly…
Gold in Real Terms Since 1969 By surpassing their inflation-adjusted 1980 record, gold prices reaffirm their role as a traditional safe haven amid inflationary pressure, currency weakness, and global economic uncertainty. Image: Deutsche Bank
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index The Market Greed/Fear Index is at 72.79, signaling sentiment near extreme greed and increasing the risk of a potential short‑term pullback. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Performance After 30% Rallies in Five Months A rally of over 30% in just five months is an exceptionally rare occurrence for the S&P 500, having happened only five times since 1950. In…