S&P 500 Returns During The Santa Claus Rally The Santa Claus Rally is the market’s year-end sweet spot, with U.S. stocks historically rising over the last five trading days of December and the first two…

Consolidated Equity Positioning Consolidated equity positioning sits just above neutral at the 53rd percentile: not risk-on, not risk-off, but ready to move if momentum accelerates. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

Sentiment Indicator and Stock Positioning Goldman Sachs’ U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator sits at 1.0, a level that in the past has tended to precede another leg higher for the S&P 500 over the next month.…

U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History With the S&P 500 at 22 times forward earnings and the Nasdaq 100 at 27, valuations remain rich as investors bet on another year of solid profit growth…

Discretionary vs. Systematic Equity Positioning Systematic strategies are sitting at the 78th percentile, but discretionary investors remain stuck at the 49th percentile, leaving plenty of dry powder for another leg higher. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…

AAII Sentiment Survey U.S. retail investors aren’t hitting the brakes just yet. The AAII Bulls have stayed above 44% for a third straight week, a setup that often bodes well for the S&P 500 over…

2026 Equity Forecasts Goldman Sachs anticipates upside potential for global equities in 2026 amid a multipolar economic environment, while projecting modest underperformance for U.S. markets relative to international peers. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

EPS – GS Top-Down vs. Consensus Bottom-Up Estimates Goldman Sachs sees S&P 500 EPS rising 12% in 2026 and 10% in 2027, driven by a resilient U.S. economy, a weaker dollar, strong mega-cap tech earnings,…

Survey – Biggest Risks to Market Stability in 2026 A rare consensus is emerging among investors on what could shake markets in 2026. Deutsche Bank’s latest survey finds AI and tech bubble jitters leading the…

Margin Debt as Percentage of Real Disposal Personal Income Margin debt has climbed to a record share of real disposable income. With incomes barely growing and borrowing piling up, investors look increasingly exposed. Markets may…

Fear & Greed Index – Investor Sentiment As the S&P 500 trades close to record levels, a Fear & Greed Index reading of 44 signals a cautious sentiment, just enough to sustain the rally. Image:…