Fiscal Impulses in Japan and the Eurozone

Fiscal Impulses in Japan and the Eurozone Japan and the eurozone are expected to benefit from significant fiscal stimulus next year. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Trade War – S&P 500 Peaks and U.S. Trade Policy

Trade War – S&P 500 Peaks and U.S. Trade Policy What is the likelihood of a trade deal between the U.S. and China? Past market peaks have been followed by major trade escalations. Image: Deutsche…

Starting Valuation Predicts Future Returns

Starting Valuation Predicts Future Returns Based on the Shiller CAPE ratio, the chart suggests a 10-year compound annual growth rate of only 2% to 4% for the U.S. stock market. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Recessions – NBER

U.S. Recessions – NBER Since 1850, this will be the first decade without a recession in the United States. Image: National Bureau of Economic Research

Tech Fund Flows

Tech Fund Flows Are tech fund inflows indicating a potential bubble? Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Investment Strategy