U.S. Economic Data
U.S. Economic Data Chart showing that U.S. economic data revisions have turned negative. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
U.S. Economic Data Chart showing that U.S. economic data revisions have turned negative. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
High Yield Credit Spread and Move Index Does higher rate credit volatility imply a widening of high-yield spreads? Image: Quill Intelligence, LLC
Value vs. Growth Stocks Since 1927, U.S. growth stocks have outperformed value stocks by 30% over a 2-year period, on five occasions. Each time, it was before a recession or a war. Is it different…
Number of DM and EM Central Banks Easing Each Month Currently, most of the world’s central banks are easing, to boost money supply in the economy and stimulate economic growth. Image: J.P. Morgan
University of Michigan Consumer Expectations Index and Real Consumer Spending This chart shows the correlation between consumer expectations and real consumer spending, and suggests real consumer spending growth of around 2.5-3%. Image: ING
Correlation Matrix This grid shows the correlation between different asset classes. It is very useful for asset allocation. Image: Fidelity Investments
China Domestic Policy and Emerging Markets Growth Cycles Great chart suggesting that changes in China domestic policy have been a big driver of EM growth cycles. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Total Return and U.S. High Yield/High Grade Usually, flight to quality in credit markets is rarely a good sign for equities, but ECB QE, Fed easing and repo operations should be positive. Image:…
U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and Cyclicals EPS Revision This chart shows the correlation between the ISM Manufacturing Index and cyclicals EPS revision, suggesting that 4Q19 will see a reset, with capital goods pricing in an…
China GDP vs. U.S. GDP Chart suggesting that China GDP will overtake U.S. GDP by 2030. Image: Danske Bank Research
S&P 500 – Buybacks, Dividends and Capital Expenditures 2018 corporate tax cut boosted dividends and buybacks, but not capex. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research