Demographics – Labor Force Growth and Term Premium

Demographics – Labor Force Growth and Term Premium Chart suggesting that growth in the labor force could explain the term premium. The term premium is the risk premium (or the bonus) that investors receive for…

U.S. Energy Balance Leads Oil-Dollar Correlation

U.S. Energy Balance Leads Oil-Dollar Correlation Interesting chart suggesting that the U.S. real energy balance leads the oil-dollar correlation by three years. Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond

U.S. High Yield Bonds and Leverage Loans

U.S. High Yield Bonds and Leverage Loans The pace of downgrades has accelerated in the U.S. leveraged loan market, despite declining interest rates. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Consumer Sentiment

U.S. Consumer Sentiment The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index is more sensitive to financial markets, whereas the Conference Board Index reflects labor market conditions. Image: J.P. Morgan

Russel 2000 and Unprofitable Small Caps

Russel 2000 and Unprofitable Small Caps The proportion of small caps that are unprofitable has climbed to nearly 30%. This level is generally only observed during recessions. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Research

S&P 500 New Highs

S&P 500 New Highs Since 1950, November 14 has the most S&P 500 new highs ever at 11. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC