Predicted Odds of a U.S. Recession within 12 Months
Predicted Odds of a U.S. Recession within 12 Months This chart suggests that the odds of a U.S. recession within 12 months have decreased to 20%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Predicted Odds of a U.S. Recession within 12 Months This chart suggests that the odds of a U.S. recession within 12 months have decreased to 20%. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
2019 Assets Performance 92% of more than 300 assets across equities, commodities, FX and credit are up this year, compared to less than 20% in 2018. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch
Global Economy – Annual GDP Growth Forecasts Weak global economic growth is expected to persist in 2020 and 2021. Image: Financial Times
Share of World GDP U.S. consumption alone accounts for around 17% of word GDP, a larger share than the entire Chinese economy. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
U.S. Debt Growth vs. Real GDP Growth Chart showing that the United States is on an unsustainable path, because U.S. debt is growing faster than the economy. Image: Real Investment Advice
Oil, Gold, Silver, and Wheat vs. Commodities Chart showing that individual commodities have historically moved together over a long period of time. Image: Wells Fargo Investment Institute
Global Growth and U.S. vs. Emerging Markets Differential The U.S. has led in several periods of global growth acceleration since 2010. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Normalized P/E vs. Subsequent Annualized Returns Chart suggesting annual returns of around 5% over the next 10 years (R² = 0.79). Image: BofA Merrill Lynch US Equity & US Quant Strategy
Global Employment and Global Real Retail Sales Chart suggesting that the slowdown in global employment is expected to impact global real retail sales. Image: J.P. Morgan
Global Economy – 2020 Global GDP Projection The global economy is expected to grow by just 2.9% in 2020. Image: Bloomberg