Median MSCI World Index vs. Its Seasonal Pattern
Median MSCI World Index vs. Its Seasonal Pattern This chart shows when the median MSCI World Index tends to perform better or worse at certain times of the year. Image: J.P. Morgan
Median MSCI World Index vs. Its Seasonal Pattern This chart shows when the median MSCI World Index tends to perform better or worse at certain times of the year. Image: J.P. Morgan
Chinese 5-Year Benchmark Yield Leads Global Manufacturing PMI Great chart suggesting that the Chinese 5-year benchmark yield leads global manufacturing PMI by 18 months. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
U.S. Stock Market – Earnings and Valuation The valuation is high relative to history, but not near historical extremes. The U.S. stock market should remain under pressure until Q3 earnings season. Image: Fidelity Investments
Equity Markets and QE Chart suggesting that equity markets tend to move higher during QE periods. Image: J.P. Morgan
U.S. 10-Year Real Rate Leads S&P 500 Future Chart suggesting that the U.S. 10-year real rate leads the S&P 500 future by 22 days. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Global Manufacturing Activity The number of countries in contraction is higher than the number of countries in expansion. Image: Financial Times
Gold in Real Terms Since 1960 Gold peaked on January 21, 1980 and would need to rise to $2,764/oz to make new peak. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
The Fed’s Treasury Holdings by Maturity Nice chart showing the Fed’s Treasury holdings by maturity before and after the financial crisis. Image: Reuters
How Much Tariffs Could Cost Each State? This chart shows how much each state would be affected by China’s export tariffs. Image: howmuch.net
S&P 500 20-Year Annualized Return This chart puts the last two decades into perspective (average 7.4% annualized return since 1960). Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC
S&P 500 Equity Risk Premium and Global DM Composite PMI Nice chart showing that the equity risk premium of the S&P 500 is currently elevated. Image: JDI research