Search Interest for Recession

Search Interest for “Recession” Google search interest for “Recession” has declined. Is the fear gone? Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Dividend Yield vs. Corporate Bond Yield

Dividend Yield vs. Corporate Bond Yield This chart shows that dividend yields of European companies appear more attractive than corporate bond yields. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Real GDP Growth Leads Core Inflation

U.S. Real GDP Growth Leads Core Inflation This great chart suggests that U.S. real GDP growth leads core inflation by 18 months. Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond

Most Important Variables When Forecasting Real GDP

Most Important Variables When Forecasting Real GDP Search trends are very different between China (manufacturing industry) and the USA/Eurozone (consumer), when forecasting real GDP. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

Who Is Buying U.S. Equities?

Who Is Buying U.S. Equities? The only buyer of US equities remains corporates, not households and institutions. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Investment Strategy

U.S. Rates

U.S. Rates Chart showing the dramatic plunge in interest rates over the past 10 months. On the positive side, the equity risk premium (ERP) is now higher. Image: Fidelity Investments

U.S. Nonfarm Employment and NFIB Survey

U.S. Nonfarm Employment and NFIB Survey If the trade war continues, it will have serious negative repercussions on the American economy. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research