S&P 500 Gap Risk

S&P 500 Gap Risk The S&P 500 Index is subject to significant gap risks under the Presidency of Donald Trump. Image: Hayek and Keynes

U.S. Buybacks vs. European Buybacks

U.S. Buybacks vs. European Buybacks This chart shows that European buybacks are not as popular as they are in the U.S.. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Fed Rate Cuts Priced In and Recession

Fed Rate Cuts Priced In and Recession Insurance cuts or recessionary cuts? It usually doesn’t end well, when the bond market begins to price in more than three rate cuts over the next 6 months.…

Demographics and U.S. 10-year Treasury Yield

Demographics and U.S. 10-year Treasury Yield The trend in global savings has turned. The chart suggests that the dis-saving phase is likely to be inflationary. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

Global Negative Yielding Bonds

Global Negative Yielding Bonds This chart shows all bonds in the world at negative interest rates. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Total Allocated Exchange Reserves by Currency

Total Allocated Exchange Reserves by Currency The U.S. dollar represents 61% of all central bank foreign reserves. And the total value of all currencies held in foreign exchange reserves is almost $11 trillion. Image: howmuch.net