Demographics – Dow Jones and Generational Peaks

Demographics – Dow Jones and Generational Peaks This chart shows that generational peaks are associated with major market tops. GenX peaked in 2018 and Millennials don’t peak until 2038. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC

Sovereign Bonds with Negative Yields

Sovereign Bonds with Negative Yields This chart puts things into perspective by showing the share of developed market sovereign bonds with negative yields (1-10 year maturities). Image: Credit Suisse

VIX and MOVE Correlation

VIX and MOVE Correlation Periods of high correlation between VIX and MOVE are not good for balanced portfolios, because diversification is hard to find. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

S&P 500 Forecast for 2019

S&P 500 Forecast for 2019 Goldman Sachs is holding its year-end price-target for the S&P 500 at 3100, and its downside scenario at 2620 (as of August 23, 2019). Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Average Tariff on All Imports

U.S. Average Tariff on All Imports A look at U.S. tariffs in the past and where they are today. Average U.S. tariffs were close to 1%, until President Trump decided to raise them. Image: BofA…

Valuation – U.S. Stock Market Capitalization-to-GDP

Valuation – U.S. Stock Market Capitalization-to-GDP The U.S. stock market capitalization-to-GDP is a general gauge of market valuation, but it’s not very useful for short-term market timing. Image: Bloomberg

S&P 500 Weekly Losing Streaks

S&P 500 Weekly Losing Streaks Currently, the S&P 500 is down 4 straight weeks. But the chart below shows that long weekly losing streaks are rare. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC