Gold Sentiment at Annual High

Gold Sentiment at Annual High The gold price ‘risk radar’ index is flashing red (-2.1 standard deviations). Image: Sentix, Bloomberg Finance L.P.

Strong Dollar and Imports

Strong Dollar and Imports The chart shows that a stronger dollar depresses goods prices via imports. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research

One of the Best Recession Indicator

One of the Best Recession Indicator The Fed is cutting rates and the 10-year rate is inverted to Fed funds. Image: Real Investment Advice

Trade War and Financial Conditions Index

Trade War and Financial Conditions Index The trade war has tightened the Goldman Sachs FCI by about 60bp cumulatively. The Goldman Sachs Financial Conditions Index (FCI) is a weighted sum of a long-term corporate yield,…

S&P 500 and U.S. GDP Long-Term Growth Rates

S&P 500 and U.S. GDP Long-Term Growth Rates Interesting chart showing the long-term growth rates of the S&P 500 and U.S. nominal GDP since 1920. Image: Lohman Econometrics

Citi Economic Surprise Index and S&P 500

Citi Economic Surprise Index and S&P 500 The Citi Economic Surprise Index has risen sharply, but it has an inconsistent history in terms of its correlation with the S&P 500. It is a cyclical indicator:…

Consumer Confidence and Business Confidence

Consumer Confidence and Business Confidence Consumer confidence has remained relatively strong, but may weaken later this year due to the decline in business confidence. Image: Wells Fargo Investment Institute