Most Important Variables When Forecasting Real GDP Search trends are very different between China (manufacturing industry) and the USA/Eurozone (consumer), when forecasting real GDP. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
Who Is Buying U.S. Equities? The only buyer of US equities remains corporates, not households and institutions. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch Global Investment Strategy
World – Central Bank Asset Purchases Great chart showing central bank asset purchases. Image: Oxford Economics
U.S. Rates Chart showing the dramatic plunge in interest rates over the past 10 months. On the positive side, the equity risk premium (ERP) is now higher. Image: Fidelity Investments
S&P 500 – Fundamental Factors Volatility The chart shows factor volatility at its highest level since 2016. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Nonfarm Employment and NFIB Survey If the trade war continues, it will have serious negative repercussions on the American economy. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index vs. U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index and Recessions Interesting chart showing the spread between the U.S. ISM Non-Manufacturing Index and the U.S. ISM Manufacturing Index over time. Image: Pictet Asset Management
S&P 500 Operating EPS vs. USA National Income, Corporate Profits Thanks to buybacks, this chart clearly shows the current divergence. Is a new bubble being formed? Image: Nordea and Macrobond
Holders of Negative Yielding Debt Central banks hold 79% of negative-yielding debt. Image: Deutsche Bank Global Research
U.S. and European Buybacks U.S. and European buybacks as percentage of cash are not at their pre-global financial crisis levels. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
China Credit Impulse and Number of Central Banks Easing vs. Tightening Lead Global Manufacturing PMI This chart suggests that China credit impulse and the number of central banks easing vs. tightening lead global manufacturing PMI…