Fears of a German Recession Are Rising A recession in Germany could mean economic damage across the region. Image: The Economist

Zombie Companies – U.S. Zombie Stocks by Sectors This chart shows the rise of zombie stocks in the health care and technology sectors after 2000. Image: FactorResearch

MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI) Leads Global GDP This chart suggests that the MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI) leads Global GDP by 6 months. Image: Ken Fisher

Volatility – Percentage of Days the S&P 500 Index Rose or Fell by More than 1% This chart shows that volatility has risen last year and year-to-date, and is expected to continue through 2020. Image:…

Share Buybacks by Month Excluding 2008, August and November are generally the busiest months for buyback executions in the past decade. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

ISM Manufacturing Index and U.S. Yield Curve Inversion This chart suggests that the ISM Manufacturing Index tends to trough 19 months after the U.S. (10Y-3M) yield curve inverts. Image: Pictet Asset Management

U.S. Recession and Presidential Re-election If there isn’t a recession ahead of the U.S. presidential re-election, presidents have won every time since the First World War. The spreadsheet also shows that five of the seven…

Historical Default Rate and Recession Periods in the U.S. Default rates on high-yield corporate bonds have exceeded 10% over the past three recessions. Image: Altman-Kuehne and NBER

Presidential Election – U.S. Presidential Score Sheet for the Final Year of the First Term Historically, a U.S. president is re-elected when at least consumer confidence and the unemployment rate improve. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch

Falling Real Yields Allow Zombie Companies to Live On The cost of extended monetary easing: the percentage of zombie companies continues to rise as U.S. 10-year real yields fall. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC

Returns Under Various Presidents since the Inception of the Dow Jones For President Trump, the stock market is a scorecard. This spreadsheet shows the Dow Jones performance across different presidencies since 1896. Image: Ryan Detrick,…