U.S. 10-Year/3-Month Yield Spread and Recessions
U.S. 10-Year/3-Month Yield Spread and Recessions This chart shows that inversions of the U.S. 10-Year/3-Month yield spread have preceded recent recessions Image: Bloomberg
U.S. 10-Year/3-Month Yield Spread and Recessions This chart shows that inversions of the U.S. 10-Year/3-Month yield spread have preceded recent recessions Image: Bloomberg
Inequality: CEO Compensation vs. Typical Worker Compensation in the U.S. CEO compensation has grown 940% since 1978, while typical worker compensation has risen by only 12%. Image: Economic Policy Institute
S&P 500 Performance by President, from Reagan to Trump For President Trump, the stock market is a scorecard. This chart shows the S&P 500 performance across different presidencies, from Reagan to Trump. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 and the Shortest Maturity U.S. Treasury Yielded Highest Houston, we have a problem! Image: OddStats
U.S. GDP and S&P 500: Change in the Three Years After a Recession Began U.S. GDP has declined by about 1.4% over two quarters since World War II, and in the worst recessions, the S&P…
How Many Recessions People Lived Through As An Adult? This chart puts recessions into perspective. Currently, about 40 million American adults haven’t experienced a single recession during their working lives. Image: The Washington Post
Time From First 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Inversion And S&P 500 Returns The S&P 500 tends to rise after an inverted yield curve. Last three 10Y-2Y curve inversions, further gains average 33%. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors,…
Global Semiconductor Sales Lead U.S. GDP Growth This interesting chart suggests that global semiconductor sales lead U.S. GDP growth by six months. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
U.S. Household Debt and World Trade This chart shows the pretty good correlation between U.S. household debt and world trade. Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond
Real Annualized Equity Returns in Local Currency and U.S. Dollar Over a long period of time, this chart suggests that there is a small difference between local currency equity returns and U.S. dollar hedged returns.…
U.S. Recession Probability and the U.S. Dollar The chart shows the correlation between the NY Fed probability of U.S. recession and the U.S. dollar. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch