Small Bank Lending and 2-Year/Fed Funds Spread

Small Bank Lending and 2-Year/Fed Funds Spread This chart shows the correlation between small bank lending and falling rates, and the negative effect of an inverted yield curve on small bank lending. Image: TS Lombard

S&P 500 Drawdowns

S&P 500 Drawdowns Drawdowns don’t have a precise time to start or end and they happen all the time. This chart puts into perspective S&P 500 drawdowns. Image: Bianco Research

15 Largest Dow Jones Point Drops

15 Largest Dow Jones Point Drops Going back to 1896, yesterday was the 380th largest percentage drop ever for the Dow Jones. Image: LPL Research

U.S. Yield Curve Leads Corporate Profits

U.S. Yield Curve Leads Corporate Profits This chart suggests that the U.S. 10-year less 3-month yield curve leads corporate profits by two years. Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond

Gold vs. U.S. 10-Year Real Yield

Gold vs. U.S. 10-Year Real Yield The chart shows the nice correlation between the U.S. 10-year real yield (inverted) and the price of gold as a defensive asset Image: Saxo Bank

The Fed vs. the 10-Year Treasury Yield

The Fed vs. the 10-Year Treasury Yield The Fed fund curve suggests that the 10-year Treasury yield could fall below its all-time low of 1.32% in 2016. Image: Fidelity Investments