Time From First 10Y-2Y Yield Curve Inversion And S&P 500 Returns The S&P 500 tends to rise after an inverted yield curve. Last three 10Y-2Y curve inversions, further gains average 33%. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors,…
Global Semiconductor Sales Lead U.S. GDP Growth This interesting chart suggests that global semiconductor sales lead U.S. GDP growth by six months. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
U.S. Household Debt and World Trade This chart shows the pretty good correlation between U.S. household debt and world trade. Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond
Real Annualized Equity Returns in Local Currency and U.S. Dollar Over a long period of time, this chart suggests that there is a small difference between local currency equity returns and U.S. dollar hedged returns.…
U.S. Recession Probability and the U.S. Dollar The chart shows the correlation between the NY Fed probability of U.S. recession and the U.S. dollar. Image: BofA Merrill Lynch
Ken Fisher on the Yield Curve In this short video, Ken Fisher explains what the yield curve is and its impact on the market. You may also like other videos by Ken Fisher. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ld3D5B8_wAU&list=PL1F15F9796653B69B&index=23&t=0s
Liquidity Premium: Investment Grade vs. High Yield Bonds The chart shows that the premium provided by illiquid IG and HY bonds has been drifting wider. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Number of Small-Cap M&A Deals At 10-Year High The number of small-cap deals is expected to continue to grow, because CEOs are under pressure to increase profits Image: Legg Mason
S&P 500 All-Time High and Inverted Yield Curve The S&P 500 tends to rise after an inverted yield curve. It has made new all-time highs 5 of 5 times the 10Y-2Y yield curve inverted. Image: Fundstrat…
Correlation Between the U.S. Economy and the World Economy This chart suggests that the U.S. economy has lagged the world economy since the Great recession. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC
U.S. Yield Curve 18 Months Before Presidential Elections 18 months before presidential elections, a flatter yield curve suggests a greater tendency to predict a change away from the incumbent President’s party Image: Deutsche Bank