What Usually Happens After A Yield Curve Inversion?
What Usually Happens After A Yield Curve Inversion? Usually, the dollar keeps gaining, equities rises afterwards and the yield curve inverts further. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
What Usually Happens After A Yield Curve Inversion? Usually, the dollar keeps gaining, equities rises afterwards and the yield curve inverts further. Image: Nordea and Macrobond
15 Largest Dow Jones Point Drops Going back to 1896, yesterday was the 380th largest percentage drop ever for the Dow Jones. Image: LPL Research
U.S. Long Term Nominal GDP Growth and U.S. 10-Year Bond Yield According to this chart, U.S. bonds are overvalued. Image: Topdown Charts
U.S. Yield Curve Leads Corporate Profits This chart suggests that the U.S. 10-year less 3-month yield curve leads corporate profits by two years. Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond
Gold vs. U.S. 10-Year Real Yield The chart shows the nice correlation between the U.S. 10-year real yield (inverted) and the price of gold as a defensive asset Image: Saxo Bank
Inverted Yield Curve: Months From Inversion to Recession Historically, the time lag between the inversion and the recession was 21 months Image: LPL Research
Amount of Retail Space per Person in the U.S. vs. Other Developed Nations America’s retail apocalypse has only just begun. Image: International Council of Shopping Centers
S&P 500 Index After U.S. Treasury 2-10 Year Yield Curve Inversion The chart shows that stocks outperform after yield curve inversion (green line: average year from 1950 to 2017). Image: LPL Research
The Fed vs. the 10-Year Treasury Yield The Fed fund curve suggests that the 10-year Treasury yield could fall below its all-time low of 1.32% in 2016. Image: Fidelity Investments
Liquidity in U.S. Equity Futures Liquidity in U.S. equity futures collapsed in early 2018. It has remained at very low levels. The lack of liquidity could lead to violent market moves. Image: Deutsche Bank
China: Chinese Firms Reliance on USD-denominated Debt Chinese firms reliance on USD-denominated debt is lower than other emerging markets. But a weakened yuan would hurt Chinese firms. Image: Institute of International Finance