Valuation Gap Between High and Low Dividend Yield Stocks

Valuation Gap Between High and Low Dividend Yield Stocks This chart shows that the valuation gap between high and low dividend yield stocks is almost the widest ever. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Government Bond Fund Flows

U.S. Government Bond Fund Flows Over the last six months, U.S. government bond fund flows have been the largest since 1985. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 EPS vs. U.S. Nonfinancial Corporate Profits

S&P 500 EPS vs. U.S. Nonfinancial Corporate Profits Creative accounting is imaginative ways to present accounts. The divergences between earnings and U.S. nonfinancial corporate profits occur before recessions. Image: Gavekal, Macrobond

U.S. Business Cycle Indicator

U.S. Business Cycle Indicator The Morgan Stanley’s cyclical indicator is still in “downturn.” The entry into the “downturn” phase suggests lower returns for stocks and risky assets. Image: Morgan Stanley Research

S&P 500 Average Stock Price

S&P 500 Average Stock Price The S&P 500 average stock price reaches a new high, due to the absence of stock splits. Image: Strategas

Fed Funds Rate Leads Money-Market Fund Inflows

Fed Funds Rate Leads Money-Market Fund Inflows The chart suggests that Fed funds rate leads money-market fund inflows by two years. Money-market fund inflows stop when risk becomes attractive again. Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond

S&P 500 Maximum Intra-Year Drawdown

S&P 500 Maximum Intra-Year Drawdown Since 1950, the average maximum drawdown for the S&P 500 is -13.5% and the median is -10.6%. You may also like “S&P 500 Index Drawdowns From 2 Year Highs.” Image: LPL…

USA – Explaining 10-Year Yields

USA – Explaining 10-Year Yields This great chart suggests that demographics and globalization explain U.S. 10-year yields. Image: Arbor Research & Trading LLC