U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Fed Rate

U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield vs. Fed Rate Interesting chart showing that the U.S. 10-year treasury yield usually does not bottom until the Fed has finished cutting rates. Image: Deutsche Bank

EUR/USD and 10-Year Rates Differential

EUR/USD and 10-Year Rates Differential The chart shows the Euro vs. US Dollar (EUR/USD) and how a 10-year rates differential corresponds to a stronger or weaker US dollar. Image: Oxford Economics, Macrobond

Annual Carbon Emissions in Tons (CO2)

Annual Carbon Emissions in Tons (CO2) About 86% of global carbon emissions are produced by countries other than the United States. You may also like “Total Global Carbon Emissions.” Image: Bloomberg

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. Richmond Fed Survey

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. Richmond Fed Survey The Richmond Fed survey suggests that the ISM Manufacturing Index could plunge to 45, but the Empire State Manufacturing Survey is a better predictor over the past two years. Image:…

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. Predictors

ISM Manufacturing Index vs. Predictors The chart shows that the Empire State Manufacturing Survey is a better predictor of the ISM Manufacturing Index over the past two years. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

World Real GDP Growth

World Real GDP Growth The chart shows the world real GDP growth since 1985. Without a rebound, the world real GDP growth could be 3.1% this year. Image: Pictet Wealth Management

S&P 500 Index – Earnings & Valuation

S&P 500 Index – Earnings & Valuation The S&P 500 valuation is high relative to history and the earnings growth estimate has fallen to +3.7% for 2019. You may also like our “Stock Market Valuation.”…

U.S. Population Growth vs. U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield

U.S. Population Growth vs. U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield U.S. demographics explain the 10-year Treasury bond yield, due to low inflation. The U.S. 10-year bond yield reflects inflation and growth expectations, and working age population…