Negative Yielding Bonds in the Barclays/Bloomberg Global Aggregate Index These charts put things into perspective. Keep in mind that bondholders will get back less than what they paid if they hold bonds to maturity. Negative…
Equity Market Performance Around Bear Markets Interesting chart showing the average return before and after equity market peaks from 1945 to 2018. You may also like “First, Middle, Final Years of S&P 500 Bull Markets…
U.S. Twin Deficits (% of GDP) Lead Real Trade Weighted Dollar Index by Two Years The chart suggests that the U.S. dollar should weaken over time. Image: Strategas
Americans Split on Description of U.S. Economy Today, 43% of Americans think socialism would be a good thing for the U.S.. Image: Gallup
Distribution of Calendar Year Returns: Dow Jones since 1900 The chart shows the calendar year returns on the Dow Jones since 1900, from lowest to highest. It also show that an average return (black bars) does…
Global PMI vs. U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield The chart suggests that the 10-year Treasury yield should be below 1.5%. Image: Pervalle Global
EPS Growth This Cycle This chart shows the exceptional earnings growth in the technology sector over this business cycle. Image: KKR Global Macro
U.S. Crude Oil Production and S&P 500 Energy Sector The U.S. is now the largest world energy producer, but the industry’s share of the S&P 500 market capitalization collapsed. Image: Bloomberg
Consumer Confidence Spread and U.S. Jobless Claims Interesting chart showing a good correlation between the consumer confidence spread and jobless claims. As a reminder, the consumer confidence vs. sentiment spread always peaks and then declines before…
U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield vs. U.S. Nominal GDP The U.S. 10-year Treasury bond yield is highly correlated with the U.S. nominal GDP growth (correlation = 77%). Image: KKR Global Macro
The Longest Economic Expansion in American History The U.S. GDP has grown for 121 consecutive months since the Great Recession. This is officially the longest U.S. economic expansion in history. You may also like “Strength…