Instances When S&P 500 Longer-Term Rally Stalls Historically, periods of strong annual stock gains of over 20% followed by short-term flat performance have often led to weaker returns in the following 3 to 6 months.…
Valuation – PE10 Ratio USA vs. Rest of the World For investors seeking diversification and long-term growth, emerging markets and other developed markets may provide a more attractive alternative to the U.S. stock market, given…
Share of Median S&P 500 Stock’s Trailing 6-Month Return Explained by Micro Factors 74% of the median S&P 500 stock’s trailing 6-month return can be explained by micro factors, which is significantly above the long-term…
Performance – % of S&P 500 Stocks Outperforming the Benchmark by Year Market leadership has diversified in 2025. Unlike the 2023/2024 period when a few large tech companies led the way, now nearly half of…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day The S&P 500 rose 1.47% this week, maintaining its positive trajectory for February and giving bulls reason to celebrate! Have a Great Weekend, Everyone! 😎
S&P 500 Annualized 10-Year Total Return Forecasts Goldman Sachs forecasts a 3% average annualized total return for the S&P 500 over the next decade, significantly lower than historical averages, due to concerns about high equity…
Average Stock Performance on Earnings Beats While U.S. companies are posting some of their best earnings growth in years, concerns over stretched valuations and macroeconomic uncertainties have limited stock price gains following earnings announcements. Image:…
Atlanta Fed GDPNow U.S. Real GDP Estimate The Atlanta Federal Reserve’s latest GDPNow model forecast projects a 2.3% annualized increase in U.S. real GDP for Q1 2025, down from a previous estimate of 2.9%, indicating…
U.S. Real Retail Sales and Recession In January, U.S. real retail sales stand at 1.16% YoY. About 70% of U.S. GDP is personal consumption. In the past, real retail sales trended sideways before the recession…
AAII – U.S. Retail Investors Allocation to Stocks, Bonds and Cash High equity allocations and low cash positions don’t always mean a market reversal is near. However, they suggest that much of the market’s potential…
S&P 500 3% YTD or More on Valentine’s Day Valentine’s Day brings good news for bulls: When the S&P 500 is up 3% YTD or more on February 14th, it has historically continued to rise…