Will Value Ever Outperform Growth?
Will Value Ever Outperform Growth? When the U.S. economy is weak, investors prefer growth stocks. But value could outperform again, when the U.S. economy will be stronger. Image: Ned Davis Research
S&P 500 1-Year Volatility vs. EPS Revisions
S&P 500 1-Year Volatility vs. EPS Revisions This chart from SG shows a good correlation between earning revisions and the S&P 500 1-year volatility. You may also like “S&P 500 1-Month Volatility History Since 1928…
Warning Signs of the Next Financial Crisis
Warning Signs of the Next Financial Crisis Some vulnerabilities in the global economy pose a risk for investors and could amplify the next financial crisis. Image: International Monetary Fund
Value of U.S. Corporate Bonds by Rating
Value of U.S. Corporate Bonds by Rating Since the Great Recession, the U.S. corporate bond debt rated ‘BBB’ exceeds $3 trillion. If the U.S. economy goes wrong, this is bad news for investors. Image: The…
Global Yield Curves
Global Yield Curves Global flattening yield curves sound the alarm about the economic outlook. Image: Capital Economics
S&P 500 Cash Return Yield by Sector and Region
S&P 500 Cash Return Yield by Sector and Region Currently, the S&P 500 cash return yield (buybacks + dividends) is 5.2%, the highest since 2011. That’s much more than Europe, Japan and emerging markets. Image:…
Increased Tariffs Between the U.S. and China: Is It Bad or Good for the U.S.?
Increased Tariffs Between the U.S. and China: Is It Bad or Good for the U.S.? The survey shows the huge gap between Republicans and Democrats. Image: The New York Times Company
Foreign Holders of U.S. Debt
Foreign Holders of U.S. Debt Currently, China and Japan hold the most U.S. debt. Image: howmuch.net
S&P 500 Low Volatility Stocks Are the Best Performing Asset YTD
S&P 500 Low Volatility Stocks Are the Best Performing Asset YTD This chart shows that S&P 500 low volatility stocks are the best performing asset year-to-date (outside of GSCI energy). Actually, high-quality stocks are a good…
History of the Real Federal Minimum Wage
History of the Real Federal Minimum Wage Today, the real federal minimum wage is worth 31% less than in 1968. It is also the longest period without an increase (adjusted for inflation). You may also…
U.S. Monthly Average 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates
U.S. Monthly Average 30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rates Keep in mind that mortgage costs are influenced by the 10-year Treasury yield. 30-year mortgage rates = 1.739 x (10-year treasury yield)² + 0.7755 x (10-year treasury yield)…