Late-cycle Worries

Late-cycle Worries Consumers are currently more optimistic today than about the future. That’s worrying because consumer spending contributes 70% of total U.S. production. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. Debt Ratios to GDP (Household, Corporate, Government)

U.S. Debt Ratios to GDP (Household, Corporate, Government) U.S. households remain far less in debt than during the Great Recession, but U.S. corporate debt continues to rise rapidly and has exceeded record levels . Image: Pictet…

Margin Debt and S&P 500

Margin Debt and S&P 500 This chart shows that margin debt has not recovered from last December’s lows, while the stock market has risen sharply.Usually, it is mostly bullish for stocks, because investors are still fearful. Image:…

U.S. Employment by Sector since 1850

U.S. Employment by Sector since 1850 Over time, the U.S. employment became less dependent on agriculture and much more diversified. Image: Deutsche Bank

U.S. Business Expansions Length by Month since 1854

U.S. Business Expansions Length by Month since 1854 Since 1854, the U.S. was in recession 35% of the time. U.S. recessions are becoming rarer over time and partly explain the increasing survival of zombie firms.…

MSCI Emerging Markets Index vs. World Semiconductor Sales

MSCI Emerging Markets Index vs. World Semiconductor Sales This great chart suggests that world semiconductor sales lead the MSCI emerging markets index by 3 months. Very interesting chart before investing in emerging market equities. Country weights…

S&P 500 All-Time Highs

S&P 500 All-Time Highs Great chart showing the 1,140 all-time highs of the S&P 500 since the Second World War. Image: Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial LLC