“Price is what you pay…” – Warren Buffett
“Price is what you pay…” – Warren Buffett Quote of the day: “Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.” –Warren Buffett
Real Three-month Yield vs. Recessions
Real Three-month Yield vs. Recessions Historically prior to every recession, the three-month yield exceeded inflation by almost 200 basis points since 1960. Today, the real three-month yield (adjusted for inflation) is just above zero. If…
US Yield Curve Inversion and Recessions
US Yield Curve Inversion and Recessions This interesting chart shows the US yield curve inversion (10y-2y spread) and recessions. Historically, by ending the rate hiking cycle before an inversion, the expansion has still some legs…
“Money never made a man happy yet…” – Benjamin Franklin
“Money never made a man happy yet…” – Benjamin Franklin Quote of the day: “Money never made a man happy yet, nor will it. The more a man has, the more he wants. Instead of filling a…
Recession Length and Real Interest Rate at Time of Yield Curve Inversion
Recession Length and Real Interest Rate at Time of Yield Curve Inversion This chart shows the recession length and real interest rate at time of yield curve Inversion. Looking at real interest rates can provide…
Ignore the Noise (w/ AK) | The One Thing
Ignore the Noise (w/ AK) | The One Thing This video shows why we should ignore the noise in the market and ask yourself, “what information is useful?” and “what information is just noise?” The…
Financial Advisor Talks Recession, Alternative Investing and Retirement
Financial Advisor talks Recession, Alternative Investing and Retirement Peter Mallouk, president and founder of Creative Planning, discusses why he does not see an overvaluation of equities, why he is not fan of crypto, and why…
What Will Cause The Next Recession – Jim O’Neill On The World Economy
What Will Cause The Next Recession – Jim O’Neill On The World Economy What will cause the next recession when “Wall Street indexes predicted nine out of the last five recessions! and its mistakes were…
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index Before a coming recession, also watch the St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index for forecasting the future. It uses 18 weekly data series to measure financial stress in the market: seven…
US Stock Market since 1900
US Stock Market since 1900 “For 240 years, it’s been a terrible mistake to bet against America” — Warren BuffettThis great chart of the US stock market since 1900, is a very good illustration of…
When recessions are occurring in the US?
When Do Recessions Occur in the US? Since 1948, recessions occur in the US after the unemployment rate is lower than the natural rate of unemployment (long-term), with a very high degree of confidence.