US Yield Curve Inversion and Recessions This interesting chart shows the US yield curve inversion (10y-2y spread) and recessions. Historically, by ending the rate hiking cycle before an inversion, the expansion has still some legs…
“Money never made a man happy yet…” – Benjamin Franklin Quote of the day: “Money never made a man happy yet, nor will it. The more a man has, the more he wants. Instead of filling a…
Recession Length and Real Interest Rate at Time of Yield Curve Inversion This chart shows the recession length and real interest rate at time of yield curve Inversion. Looking at real interest rates can provide…
Ignore the Noise (w/ AK) | The One Thing This video shows why we should ignore the noise in the market and ask yourself, “what information is useful?” and “what information is just noise?” The…
Financial Advisor talks Recession, Alternative Investing and Retirement Peter Mallouk, president and founder of Creative Planning, discusses why he does not see an overvaluation of equities, why he is not fan of crypto, and why…
What Will Cause The Next Recession – Jim O’Neill On The World Economy What will cause the next recession when “Wall Street indexes predicted nine out of the last five recessions! and its mistakes were…
St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index Before a coming recession, also watch the St. Louis Fed Financial Stress Index for forecasting the future. It uses 18 weekly data series to measure financial stress in the market: seven…
US Stock Market since 1900 “For 240 years, it’s been a terrible mistake to bet against America” — Warren BuffettThis great chart of the US stock market since 1900, is a very good illustration of…
When Do Recessions Occur in the US? Since 1948, recessions occur in the US after the unemployment rate is lower than the natural rate of unemployment (long-term), with a very high degree of confidence.
“I never attempt to make money on the stock market…”–Warren Buffett “I never attempt to make money on the stock market. I buy on the assumption that they could close the market the next day…
2 Secrets to Beating the Market. Great Value Investor Joel Greenblatt Explains For a long-term diversified portfolio, Joel Greenblatt, great value investor and CIO of Gotham Asset management, would stick with the Vanguard Value ETF…