Length of Bull Markets and When They Started
Length of Bull Markets and When They Started Born in October 2022, this bull market is young by market history. It may have more fuel in the tank than the bears would like to admit.…
Forecast of Gold Prices
Forecast of Gold Prices If macro hedge accumulation picks up again and diversification away from Western assets accelerates, gold could climb to $5,700–$6,100. The recent pullback looks more like profit-taking than a shift in fundamentals.…
Median Short Interest Across Russell 3000 Stocks
Median Short Interest Across Russell 3000 Stocks Median short interest across Russell 3000 stocks has jumped to multi‑year highs as bearish sentiment builds, raising the odds of a short squeeze. Too much shorting often ends…
Difference between Front-End Brent Crude Oil Futures and 6-Month Brent Futures
Difference between Front-End Brent Crude Oil Futures and 6-Month Brent Futures Markets are betting the Middle East conflict will be short‑lived. Oil futures signal tight near‑term supply but confidence that disruptions will fade quickly. But…
Valuation – Average P/E for Stoxx Europe 600 and S&P 500
Valuation – Average P/E for Stoxx Europe 600 and S&P 500 Investors finally returned to European equities after years of hesitation. But keeping them invested is becoming tougher, with Europe losing appeal as the U.S.…
S&P 500 Forward P/E Ratio and Subsequent 5-Year Returns
Forward P/E Ratio and Subsequent 5-Year Annualized Returns With U.S. stocks still trading at lofty valuations, the next five years could bring slimmer returns. Great companies, yes! But not at great prices. Even the best…
Distributions od Returns of World Tech vs. World ex. TMT
Distributions od Returns of World Tech vs. World ex. TMT The tech sector is facing a valuation reset this year after a long stretch of outsized gains fueled by AI enthusiasm and momentum trades. In…
PEG Ratio between Technology and Global Aggregate Market
PEG Ratio between Technology and Global Aggregate Market The tech sector’s slump is beginning to uncover compelling opportunities, with valuations now lagging behind the global aggregate market despite solid growth expectations. Times like these often…
S&P 500 Annualized Return per Day
S&P 500 Annualized Return per Day The 2026 playbook feels familiar: U.S. stocks push higher through midweek before traders take profits and trim exposure ahead of the weekend. It has become pretty much the market’s…
S&P 500 Intra-Year Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns
S&P 500 Intra-Year Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns Every year, investors take on roughly 14% in average drawdowns, but the S&P 500 has managed to rise in 35 of the past 46. That kind of…
Estimated Share of S&P 500 EPS Growth
Estimated Share of S&P 500 EPS Growth AI infrastructure spending is expected to drive about 40% of S&P 500 earnings growth this year, and around 28% in 2027. It’s a strong tailwind for profits today,…