S&P 500 Intra-Year Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns Investors stomach average yearly pullbacks of around 14%, but the S&P 500 still closed higher in 35 of the past 46 years. Volatility, after all, is the…
Number of U.S. IPOs Wall Street is about to wake up again. After a sluggish stretch, the U.S. IPO machine is set to roar back to life in 2026, with some 120 deals tipped to…
Valuation Percentile for Equity, Credit and Bond Valuations matter more over the medium term than in the moment. In years like 2025, robust growth let markets climb anyway, powered by rising profits despite high price…
U.S. Real Retail Sales and Recession U.S. real retail sales stand at -0.22% YoY. About 70% of U.S. GDP is personal consumption. In the past, U.S. real retail sales trended sideways before the recession began.
Global Sector Fund Flows Excluding Tech Sector funds outside Tech have drawn a record $62 billion in inflows over the first five weeks of the year, more than the total for all of 2025. The rush…
Earnings Growth – Mag 7 and S&P 500 ex-Mag 7 This year, the Magnificent Seven are set to deliver earnings growth of roughly 25%, more than double the 11% expected from the rest of the…
MSCI World Sector/Style Valuations With valuations running hot across sectors and styles, investors are turning more selective. Even so, a few pockets of value still glimmer beneath the surface. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Earnings Revision Breadth The relationship isn’t perfect, but S&P 500 EPS revision breadth has often led market moves, showing a strong historical link with the index’s six‑month trailing returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Valuation – S&P 500 Shiller Cyclically-Adjusted P/E Ratio vs. Model-Predicted P/E Ratio U.S. equities look expensive relative to both their own history and what today’s macro backdrop would normally justify. In past cycles, such stretches…
S&P 500 YoY EPS Growth Wall Street’s outlook for 2026 is bright, with analysts eyeing a 15% rise in S&P 500 earnings. While forecasts sound promising, markets often have surprises in store. Image: Goldman Sachs…
Risk Appetite Indicator Level and Momentum Factors Goldman Sachs’s Risk Appetite Indicator stays high, showing confidence remains strong across the market’s major players. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research