YoY Growth in S&P 500 Cash Use S&P 500 companies are shifting cash to capex, led by AI, while buybacks stall. The result may be weaker EPS support and a thinner cushion for stock prices.…

Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -1.68% YoY in April. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary…

10-Year U.S. Treasury Yields vs. New Fed Chair 10-year U.S. Treasury yields often push higher in the first six months after a new Fed chair takes office, as markets adjust to a new policy regime.…

Risk Appetite Indicator Goldman Sachs’ Risk Appetite Indicator is still climbing and now looks stretched, with early signs of overheating as investors crowd into riskier assets chasing further gains. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Performance After Six Week Wins Streaks Up >10% Six weeks up and more than 10% higher. Historically, that combination has been a tailwind for U.S. stocks, delivering average 12-month returns of 17.1% since…

S&P 500 Returns During Earnings Seasons During earnings season, the S&P 500 typically rallies, posting a median gain of 2% over the first four weeks. This time, the index is up nearly four times that…

Performance vs. S&P 500 by Uses of Cash U.S. companies that return the most cash to shareholders through dividends and buybacks have outperformed the S&P 500 since 1992. The outperformance usually reflects stronger fundamentals and…

Bitcoin and Software Bitcoin has largely tracked software stocks in recent years. The reset phase now looks to be transitioning into a rebound. Both have cleared near-term resistance and are starting to build short-term uptrends.…

YTD Change in S&P 500 Price, Earnings, and Valuation The S&P 500 has pushed higher this year, but valuations have eased as earnings expectations outpace price gains. When profits accelerate, markets can rise without stretching…

S&P 500 Earnings Growth – Consensus vs. Historical Norms Historically, S&P 500 earnings have risen 6.5% annually. The 18.6% call for 2026 is more than twice that rate, and forecasts for 2027 still around 16%.…

S&P 500 Bull Markets Over the past 50 years, the average U.S. bull market ran for eight years and returned 288%. At just 3.5 years old and up more than 100%, this one still looks…