S&P 500 Technical Composite A composite of technical breadth measures places the S&P 500 in neutral gear, leaving room for potential upside if momentum picks up. Image: MarketDesk Research

S&P 500 – Short Interest on the SPY and QQQ U.S. ETFs Signs of complacency? Short positions in the SPY and QQQ U.S. ETFs remain thin, signaling little appetite for downside speculation and damping the…

S&P 500 and Liquidity Liquidity stays abundant. But since 2022, dip-buyers have stopped tracking liquidity and started trading on Fed whispers, reading signals more than balance sheets. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 Index Returns Based on If January Is Higher or Lower Bulls have reason to smile: a positive January often sets the tone for a bullish year. When the S&P 500 finishes the month…

Seasonality – Monthly Return Stats for the S&P 500 February has a history of flat returns but plenty of drama, earning its reputation as one of the market’s trickier months for investors. Image: Topdown Charts

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) A steady U.S. dollar holding its range might be just what traders and markets need. But let it slip below 90 with conviction, and sentiment can turn quickly: what once looked…

Median 2-Week S&P 500 Returns The first half of February has usually brought modest S&P 500 gains, followed by a challenging second half, resulting in overall monthly flat performance. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Heavy Truck Sales and Recessions (Leading Indicator) U.S. heavy truck sales rose in December to 392K (annualized). Before recessions, heavy trucks sales tend to peak and then decline, providing insights into the overall health…

S&P 500 Buybacks vs. S&P 500 Composite 12-Month Trailing EPS Corporate buybacks and earnings growth have risen hand in hand. Much of that growth, though, reflects companies lifting their own share prices. With valuations stretched,…

U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) and Purchasing Power Parity Valuation Despite recent softness, the U.S. dollar still trades at a hefty premium on key valuation measures, making it vulnerable to further losses. Image: TS Lombard

S&P 500 – Seasonality During Bull vs. Bear Markets (Midterm Election Years Only) Bull markets don’t offer immunity. U.S. midterm election years tend to bring choppier trading and elevated volatility for the S&P 500 until…