Financials Positioning vs. Earnings Growth Positioning in financials is still unusually light, leaving ample room to build exposure. Such caution looks misplaced given the upbeat consensus on earnings growth. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Evolution of S&P 500 Consensus Earnings Optimism is building on Wall Street. Analysts have lifted their S&P 500 bottom-up earnings forecasts for Q2 2026, betting on stronger corporate profit momentum through the year. It’s encouraging…
Mega-Cap Growth & Tech Positioning vs. Earnings Growth Positioning in mega-cap growth and tech is bracing for an earnings slowdown, but data are challenging that view. Should sentiment turn, risk appetite could snap back fast…
Impact of U.S. Quarter-Over-Quarter Annualized GDP Growth The boost from the 2025 fiscal bill may be short-lived, as the conflict in the Middle East drives oil prices higher and curbs U.S. growth prospects. Image: Goldman…
S&P 500 Average Return After Recapturing 200-Day Moving Average From Below History favors the bulls: when the S&P 500 has dropped below and regained its 200‑day moving average since 2000, it has averaged a 15%…
S&P 500 Index Returns In April Even with the Middle East conflict clouding the seasonal backdrop, April has historically been a strong month for U.S. equities, averaging positive returns since 1950. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance Since October 2025 The S&P 500 has moved back into the pre-conflict trading band. That said, the index has still been reacting to headlines, so the range looks more like a cautious…
Equity Positioning and S&P 500 EPS Growth Equity positioning is bracing for a sharp earnings slowdown, but recent data are undermining that story. If the gloom fades, risk appetite may rebound fast and lift stocks.…
Volatility – VIX Index The VIX dropping below 20 signals fading market jitters and a steadier tone, typically a tailwind for equities as calmer volatility expectations often accompany rising stock prices. Lower volatility tends to…
S&P 500 Performance After 6-Day Win Streaks and Up 6% Six days up in a row and a 6% surge: history says that combo often bodes well for U.S. stocks, with median 12-month gains of…
Consumer Sentiment Index and Subsequent 12-Month S&P 500 Returns History shows that when consumer confidence sinks, stocks often rebound, turning gloom into a launchpad for gains. It’s the familiar rhythm of fear giving way to…