S&P 500 Quarterly YoY EPS Growth Relative to Consensus Expectations Consensus expects S&P 500 earnings to rise 7% yoy in 4Q 2025, but Goldman Sachs sees room for more, pointing to robust sales trends and…
5-Year Turnover of S&P 500 Constituents In a typical five-year stretch, about 20% of S&P 500 members turn over, a reminder of how tough it is to stay in the game for the long haul.…
Components of S&P 500 Total Return Corporate profits carried much of the load for the S&P 500 in 2025, powering most of the index’s gains. In 2026, earnings look set to stay behind the wheel,…
S&P 500 – Which Will Perform Best in 2026? More portfolio managers see the “S&P 493” gaining ground on the Magnificent 7 this year, with fundamentals improving and valuation spreads closing amid worries over index…
Risk Appetite Indicator Goldman Sachs’s Risk Appetite Indicator has climbed to its highest level since early 2025, as investors pile into riskier assets in search of steady returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global Sector Fund Flows Technology sector funds have experienced outflows recently amid stretched valuations and shifting investor priorities, while other sectors have drawn inflows. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Investor Sentiment – U.S. Market Greed/Fear Index Optimism is running hot, with the S&P 500 touching new highs, the Greed and Fear Index up to 82.92, and equity allocations elevated. Image: Real Investment Advice
Change in Consensus EPS The market is still a Big Tech story. Earnings estimates for 2026 keep climbing for the tech giants, while the rest of the S&P 493 struggles to keep up. Image: Goldman…
Distribution of 1-Year S&P 500 Returns in Non-Recession Years Double‑digit losses are a rarity outside recessions, just 5% of the time. But when growth kicks in, the S&P 500 usually surges, notching double-digit gains nearly…
MSCI Equity Indexes, Total Return in US$ America’s equity outperformance topped out in 2022. U.S. growth still looks solid, but lofty valuations suggest tougher performance ahead, arguing for a more balanced global allocation in 2026.…
OECD G20 Composite Leading Indicator The OECD’s global leading indicator is running above trend and gaining momentum, signaling a pickup in the global growth cycle that has historically coincided with stronger risk-asset performance over government…