Forward P/E Ratio and Subsequent 5-Year Annualized Returns With U.S. stocks still trading at lofty valuations, the next five years could bring slimmer returns. Great companies, yes! But not at great prices. Even the best…
Distributions od Returns of World Tech vs. World ex. TMT The tech sector is facing a valuation reset this year after a long stretch of outsized gains fueled by AI enthusiasm and momentum trades. In…
PEG Ratio between Technology and Global Aggregate Market The tech sector’s slump is beginning to uncover compelling opportunities, with valuations now lagging behind the global aggregate market despite solid growth expectations. Times like these often…
S&P 500 Index and Technical Score At 79.77, the S&P 500 is flashing overbought conditions. After sentiment bottomed out in March, the rebound has been sharp. A pause or some consolidation would be healthy. Image:…
S&P 500 Annualized Return per Day The 2026 playbook feels familiar: U.S. stocks push higher through midweek before traders take profits and trim exposure ahead of the weekend. It has become pretty much the market’s…
S&P 500 Intra-Year Declines vs. Calendar Year Returns Every year, investors take on roughly 14% in average drawdowns, but the S&P 500 has managed to rise in 35 of the past 46. That kind of…
Estimated Share of S&P 500 EPS Growth AI infrastructure spending is expected to drive about 40% of S&P 500 earnings growth this year, and around 28% in 2027. It’s a strong tailwind for profits today,…
Valuation – Spread Between P/E of S&P 500 Information Technology Sector and S&P 500 After a sharp retreat from last year’s record highs, tech stocks are looking appealing again for investors ready to ride the…
AAII Asset Allocation Signs of caution are surfacing among U.S. retail investors, who cut their stock holdings for a fourth straight month in March while trimming bond positions and parking more money in cash. Many…
Bond Volatility – MOVE Index With the MOVE index trending lower, U.S. rate volatility has cooled, which brings a dose of relief to bond desks and, by extension, the economy. It’s definitely a welcome breather…
60/40 Portfolio Monthly Return Decomposition The classic 60/40 portfolio slid 3.7% in March as stocks and bonds dropped in tandem. Such lockstep declines aren’t unusual when markets brace for higher prices or sticky inflation ahead.…