Oil Prices vs. U.S. Inflation When oil climbs, inflation usually follows, lifting energy and transport costs that spread through the economy. The result often weighs on stocks, as tighter profit margins and softer consumer spending…
1000 Point Advances for the Dow Jones Industrial Average The Dow posted its 25th intraday gain of more than 1,000 points yesterday, with 23 coming during Trump’s presidency. Everyone wants to catch the big move,…
Earnings Growth – Mag 7 and S&P 500 ex-Mag 7 The Magnificent Seven are on track for a 26% earnings jump this year, far ahead of the S&P 500’s 14% pace. With tech’s momentum still…
Valuation – PEG Ratio Between the U.S. and the Rest of the World The valuation premium of U.S. equities versus the rest of the world, through the PEG lens, has narrowed in recent months. But…
Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -2.13% YoY in March. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary…
U.S. Fund Flows Since 2019, both cash and bonds have drawn substantial inflows, as investors have shifted toward perceived safety and income‑generating assets amid heightened macro uncertainty and evolving central‑bank policy. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Magnificent Seven 12-Month Forward P/E Valuations for the Magnificent Seven have come down meaningfully from their recent highs. That doesn’t necessarily make them cheap, but the risk‑reward looks far more balanced. Valuations make more sense…
Global Equities Performance Since spring 2025, U.S. stocks have underperformed relative to other major markets, breaking a long streak of outperformance. A weaker dollar has added momentum to global diversification, especially among overseas investors. Image:…
S&P 500: What Happens If You Miss the 10 Best/Worst Days Missing the S&P 500’s best days is the usual warning, but avoiding its worst stretches is what preserves capital. Protecting downside often matters more…
Length of Bull Markets and When They Started Born in October 2022, this bull market is young by market history. It may have more fuel in the tank than the bears would like to admit.…
Forecast of Gold Prices If macro hedge accumulation picks up again and diversification away from Western assets accelerates, gold could climb to $5,700–$6,100. The recent pullback looks more like profit-taking than a shift in fundamentals.…