Equity Positioning and S&P 500 EPS Growth

Equity Positioning and S&P 500 EPS Growth Equity positioning is bracing for a sharp earnings slowdown, but recent data are undermining that story. If the gloom fades, risk appetite may rebound fast and lift stocks.…

Volatility – VIX Index

Volatility – VIX Index The VIX dropping below 20 signals fading market jitters and a steadier tone, typically a tailwind for equities as calmer volatility expectations often accompany rising stock prices. Lower volatility tends to…

S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth

S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth Deutsche Bank is turning more bullish on corporate America. Backed by a supportive macro backdrop, it sees S&P 500 earnings growth coming in strong at 19.2% for Q1, comfortably ahead…

S&P 500 Technical Composite

S&P 500 Technical Composite A composite of technical breadth measures suggests the S&P 500 is running hot, raising the odds of a short-term pullback after a stretch where good news has largely been priced in.…

U.S. Heavy Truck Sales and Recessions (Leading Indicator)

U.S. Heavy Truck Sales and Recessions (Leading Indicator) U.S. heavy truck sales slightly in March to 342K (annualized). Before recessions, heavy trucks sales tend to peak and then decline, providing insights into the overall health…

Oil Prices vs. U.S. Inflation

Oil Prices vs. U.S. Inflation When oil climbs, inflation usually follows, lifting energy and transport costs that spread through the economy. The result often weighs on stocks, as tighter profit margins and softer consumer spending…

1000 Point Advances for the Dow Jones Industrial Average

1000 Point Advances for the Dow Jones Industrial Average The Dow posted its 25th intraday gain of more than 1,000 points yesterday, with 23 coming during Trump’s presidency. Everyone wants to catch the big move,…