Small Cap Equity Positioning Small-cap equity allocations are currently low, sitting at the 33rd percentile. This suggests potential for increased small-cap allocation among many investors, particularly those with long-term investment horizons. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset…
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day In Wall Street, bears are like the prophets of doom, except instead of a fiery apocalypse, it’s just a market correction! Happy “Hump” Day, Everyone! 🐫🐪😎
Housing – CME Lumber Futures Price The combination of increased tariffs, supply constraints, and strong demand is creating a challenging environment for the lumber market, leading to significant price increases that are expected to continue…
Oil, 10 Year U.S. Treasury Yields and U.S. Dollar The increasing cohesion in recent years between oil prices, 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, and the U.S. dollar reflects deeper economic linkages and heightened sensitivity to policy…
U.S. 2s10s Yield Curve and Consensus Probability of a U.S. Recessions in the Next 12 Months Although fears of a U.S. recession have been mounting, the 2s10s U.S. Treasury yield curve’s recent steepening suggests a…
Performance – S&P 500 vs. Stoxx Europe 600 European stocks are delivering robust gains relative to the U.S. this quarter, but sustaining this momentum through year-end remains uncertain given past trends. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History Compared to historical standards, both tech and S&P 500 valuations remain elevated, raising questions about future market performance. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 493 Relative Return The Magnificent 7’s dominance in terms of innovation, profitability, and market positioning could sustain their outperformance longer than expected. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day As the S&P 500 tumbled into a 10% correction, bears are grinning, eager to deport bulls from Wall Street, but bulls remain optimistic, waiting for their visas to be extended!…
CTAs Allocation in Oil Commodity Trading Advisors have significantly reduced their exposure to oil in the current market climate. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Average Forward S&P 500 Returns Following Large Declines in U.S. Equity Sentiment Indicator Historically, sharp declines in the U.S. equity sentiment indicator have often preceded positive strong stock market performance in the following weeks. Image:…