Median S&P 500 Stock Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization Short interest for the median S&P 500 stock remains high, rising to 2.4%. However, the move is currently being driven more by investors using…
Fed Funds Rate – Target Probabilities at the Fed’s FOMC Meeting Traders are showing renewed optimism for a Fed rate cut at the December 10, 2025 FOMC meeting, pricing in a 71% chance of a…
S&P 500 Price Target for 2025 and 2026 Goldman Sachs sees the S&P 500 climbing to 6,800 by the end of 2025 and pushing toward 7,600 in 2026, betting on an accommodative Fed and the…
Valuation – Real S&P 500 Index with Recessions and S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio Markets move in full cycles, swinging from long bull runs to deep bear phases. These patterns have played out time and…
S&P 500 Annual Highs Per Month It’s still a bull market to love, even as the bears grow louder. History rarely sees the S&P 500 peak in October, and with new highs within reach, U.S.…
Equities – 10-Year Forward Annualized Total Returns in Local Currency Rich valuations aren’t stopping Goldman Sachs from backing global equities, with Emerging Markets and Asia seen leading performance over the next 10 years. Image: Goldman…
Volatility – U.S. Options Expiration $3.1 trillion in options notional value is set to expire today, the largest November expiration on record and potentially injecting fresh volatility into markets. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Temporary Help Services Jobs vs. Real GDP and U.S. Recessions Temporary Help Services Jobs stand at -3.03% YoY in September. The relationship between Temporary Help Services jobs and the macroeconomy is complex. Declines in Temporary…
AAII Sentiment Survey The AAII bull-bear spread ticked higher this week but stayed in the red. Sentiment remains cautious, but history shows that persistent gloom often plants the seeds of the next rally rather than…
U.S. Real GDP Growth Goldman Sachs sees the U.S. economy keeping its edge, calling for GDP growth of 2.1% in 2025 and 2.5% in 2026 — outpacing consensus — with stable inflation and a strong…
Mentions of AI During Earnings Calls AI is taking center stage in corporate America, with an increasing number of S&P 500 companies spotlighting it in their earnings calls, and the momentum shows no signs of…