S&P 500 2025 Year-End Forecasts While most equity strategists still anticipate a sustained rally in the S&P 500 Index through 2025, their forecasts show significant divergence as conflicting macroeconomic data and policy uncertainties cloud the…
Ownership Breakdown of the U.S. Equity Market (Share of Corporate Equity Market) U.S. households own 38% of the U.S. equity market, demonstrating strong confidence in stocks. However, stock ownership is highly concentrated, with the wealthiest…
S&P 500 Sector P/E Valuations Relative to History Despite the recent market decline, several S&P 500 sectors remain overvalued by historical standards. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Gold Price Forecast Goldman Sachs raised its gold price forecast to $3,700 per ounce from $3,300, with a range of $3,650–$3,950, citing stronger-than-expected demand from central banks and ETFs as key drivers of the increase.…
Discretionary Equity Positioning Discretionary equity positioning is at the 14th percentile, reflecting investor caution without extreme bearishness. This leaves room for significant upside if trade tensions ease. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day The S&P 500’s 5.7% increase last week hasn’t dampened bears’ endless pessimism, dismissing the rally as a dead cat bounce. Meanwhile, bulls are preoccupied with debating whether to stock glitter…
Median S&P 500 Stock Bid-Ask Spread Bid-ask spreads for S&P 500 stocks have widened significantly in recent trading sessions, driven by heightened market volatility and liquidity strains. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 and Combination of Forward PE, VIX, Bullish Sentiment The Euphoriameter indicator (a combination of forward P/E, VIX, and bullish sentiment) peaked in November 2024 and continues its downward trend, with no bottoming signal…
Risk Appetite Indicator Level and Momentum Factors The GS risk appetite indicator has fallen sharply into negative territory, signaling a cautious stance among investors. That said, it has stayed above extreme levels and has shown…
Indexed Return of Cyclicals vs. Defensives and Consensus Forward 4-Quarter U.S. GDP Growth While the U.S. stock market reflects some caution amid global uncertainties, its resilience indicates that a full-blown recession scenario is not yet…
S&P 500 Corrections and Bear Markets Since World War II Corrections and bear markets, while inevitable and uncomfortable, often reset valuations—providing long-term investors a chance to reevaluate holdings and build positions at attractive levels. Image:…