Category: Blog

Spot Gold Are you entertained? Gold hit fresh record highs after Trump rattled markets with threats of new tariffs on Europe, part of his renewed Greenland push that has revived talk of a looming U.S.–EU trade war. Image: Bloomberg

Small Cap Equity Positioning Investor appetite for small-caps stays strong in early 2026, while positioning at the 63rd percentile leaves space for further upside. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation

S&P 500 Annual Rate of Change vs. Annual Change in GAAP Earnings The S&P 500 usually moves with earnings, so grounding an investment strategy in profit growth and consistency in 2026 looks like a smart move. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 Total Returns After Crossing Into the 9th and 10th Deciles of Valuation U.S. equities have a history of pushing higher despite lofty valuations. While nervous talk of a tech bubble persists, analysts point to strong earnings and low debt as reasons this rally could run longer. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Index Average Intra-Year Drawdown During Midterm Elections Midterm years often shake confidence on Wall Street. The S&P 500 usually slides 18% on average at some point during the year, but those downturns tend to open the door to compelling buying opportunities. Image: Bloomberg

Fed Funds Rate and Fed Funds Futures Lower tariff rates and a dovish shift at the Fed could set the stage for rate cuts below 3.5% by year‑end, assuming inflation keeps drifting toward target and growth stays soft. Image: Deutsche Bank

Global Stocks – MSCI AC World Local Index Citigroup strategists are betting on a 10% rise in global equities this year, backed by a gentle economic slowdown, stronger earnings forecasts, and fresh AI tailwinds. Image: Bloomberg

U.S. M2 Money Creation by Year All signs point to a 2026 liquidity wave: bigger money funds, solid bank credit, and $40 billion a month from the Fed in T‑bill buys. That could juice reserves, pump up nearly $2 trillion in money creation, and keep stocks humming. Image: J.P. Morgan Flows and Liquidity

U.S. Corporate Profits as % of Real GDP U.S. corporate profits are running far ahead of real economy growth, reaching the widest gap on record. History shows that such divergences rarely last once markets face reality. Image: Real Investment Advice

Equity Market Concentration – Market Capitalization of 10 Largest Companies as Share of S&P 500 Total What was once a mirror of the market has become a magnifying glass. Ten mega-caps now make up over 40% of the S&P 500, distorting valuations and magnifying every swing. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Hyperscaler Quarterly Capex Growth Hyperscalers may soon hit the brakes on capital spending, potentially hurting valuations. But in doing so, they risk ceding ground in the AI race, where fierce competition and tight supply chains leave little room to slow down. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research