S&P 500 Annual Performance Based How the Santa Claus Rally Does A missing Santa Claus rally is rarely good news. Since 1950, years that skipped the festive lift have averaged only 6.1% gains. For bulls, that’s a warning sign that 2026 could be choppier. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth Deutsche Bank sees S&P 500 earnings gaining momentum, with Q4 profits projected to jump 15% yoy, driven by supportive macro conditions and stronger corporate results, outpacing consensus estimates. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Positioning Indicator With U.S. equity positioning largely neutral, there’s room for investors to lean back into risk. Market conditions remain supportive for risk-on moves. Image: TS Lombard
S&P 500 Use of Cash The buyback cool‑off points to a strategic pivot by hyperscalers, prioritizing massive AI infrastructure rollouts over near-term shareholder returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E Multiple Even with valuations running rich, the S&P 500 trades close to fair value. Solid earnings growth and a resilient economy could keep the rally alive. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Equity Net Long Positioning – Leveraged Funds and Asset Managers Net Future Positions Leveraged funds and asset managers aren’t back to their peak long bets in U.S. stock futures, and with growth resilient, easier policy, and profits steady, the rally might still have legs. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Hyperscaler Capex Hyperscaler capex is on track to jump to about $540 billion in 2026 and $630 billion in 2027. But the spending boom is losing steam, and that cooling trend could put pressure on lofty tech valuations. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Purchasing Power Preservation of Different Investments (S&P 500, Bonds, Gold, Real Estate) Gold keeps its shine, but since 1928, U.S. stocks have sparkled brighter. The longer the horizon, the more momentum favors productive assets. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Index Returns and Santa Claus Rally Santa Claus skipped Wall Street this year, and for the bulls, that’s often a warning the new year may bring choppier trading. Will this time be any different? Image: Carson Investment Research
Median S&P 500 Stock Short Interest as % of Market Capitalization Short interest for the median S&P 500 stock remains elevated, climbing to 2.7%. The rise, though, appears driven more by hedging activity than by outright fear or speculative panic. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Bitcoin Price and Moving Averages Bitcoin’s recovery above its 50-day moving average after sharp drops like the one in early October 2025 typically signals the start of a potential reversal or at least a move toward steadier ground. Image: Bloomberg