Estimated Share of S&P 500 EPS Growth AI infrastructure spending is expected to drive about 40% of S&P 500 earnings growth this year, and around 28% in 2027. It’s a strong tailwind for profits today, but one that leaves the market increasingly dependent on it. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – Spread Between P/E of S&P 500 Information Technology Sector and S&P 500 After a sharp retreat from last year’s record highs, tech stocks are looking appealing again for investors ready to ride the long game. That opportunity is getting harder to ignore. Image: Bloomberg
AAII Asset Allocation Signs of caution are surfacing among U.S. retail investors, who cut their stock holdings for a fourth straight month in March while trimming bond positions and parking more money in cash. Many are waiting for clearer signals. Image: Daily Chartbook
Bond Volatility – MOVE Index With the MOVE index trending lower, U.S. rate volatility has cooled, which brings a dose of relief to bond desks and, by extension, the economy. It’s definitely a welcome breather for the markets. Image: The Daily Shot
60/40 Portfolio Monthly Return Decomposition The classic 60/40 portfolio slid 3.7% in March as stocks and bonds dropped in tandem. Such lockstep declines aren’t unusual when markets brace for higher prices or sticky inflation ahead. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Positioning Across Sector Groups Investors are keeping exposure light across most sectors, with only Energy and Utilities still drawing interest. That’s hardly surprising, as Energy remains the market’s only bright spot. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Monthly Performance the Past 20 Years This year’s conflict in the Middle East has clouded the outlook, but history still favors the bulls: April has rewarded U.S. stocks 80% of the time over the past two decades, as markets tend to climb the wall of worry this time of year. Image: Carson Investment…
S&P 500 – 13-Week and 26-Week Moving Average The S&P 500 remains in a bull trend with the 13-week moving average still above the 26-week, but the gap has narrowed enough to raise caution. Image: Bloomberg
Number of Consecutive Negative Weeks for the S&P 500 Five straight weeks of declines might rattle investors, but history reminds us that such runs often mark turning points rather than lasting downturns. Markets often rebound just when sentiment hits the lowest point. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Weekly Losing Streaks If the S&P 500 ends in the red today, it would mark a record 10th consecutive losing Thursday. But the last trading day before Good Friday has a habit of swinging positive. Maybe today finally breaks the streak. Image: Carson Investment Research
Gold Price Forecast Goldman Sachs is holding firm on its bullish gold call, reaffirming a December 2026 target of $5,400 an ounce even as recent volatility and bouts of profit-taking test investor nerves. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research