U.S. Stocks – Magnificent Seven Market Value as a Percent of S&P 500 Market Value The “Magnificent Seven” stocks have significantly influenced the S&P 500, now accounting for 34% of its market capitalization, reflecting their dominance and the concentrated risk in the market. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Bears are struggling to find U.S. stocks that don’t make them feel like they’re overpaying—similar to buying a used car at full price from a salesman who claims it was only lightly driven by a little old lady! It’s already Wednesday, Happy “Hump” Day, Everyone! 🐫🐪😎
CTAs Allocation in Oil Commodity Trading Advisors (CTAs) have adopted a bearish outlook on oil, reducing their exposure to the market. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Equity Risk Premium With the S&P 500 equity risk premium hitting multi-decade lows, investors may find bonds more appealing than stocks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Weight of Top 10 Holdings in Each Country’s ETF Concerns about U.S. stock market concentration, especially among the top 10 stocks, have grown. However, a broader comparison with other major economies suggests that the U.S. market may not be as top-heavy as perceived. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 Performance by Prior Year >10% and First 5 Days of January Performance The S&P 500 has historically shown strong performance following years of double-digit gains, when the first five trading days of the new year are positive. Image: Fundstrat Global Advisors, LLC
Valuation – S&P 500 CAPE Ratio While a high CAPE ratio typically suggests lower expected long-term returns, it does not guarantee immediate market corrections. Currently, there are no signs of an economic downturn. Image: Deutsche Bank
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Even in a bull market, where the S&P 500 gained 0.55% yesterday, it seems bears have opted for a long vacation rather than hibernation! Have a Great Day, Everyone! 😎
U.S. Economic Surprise Index A rising U.S. Economic Surprise Index is often associated with positive equity performance due to enhanced investor sentiment and expectations of continued economic growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Equity Sector Returns While large-cap growth stocks, particularly those in the Magnificent 7, performed strongly in 2024, there was also a significant shift toward value sectors throughout the year, reflecting broader economic resilience. Image: J.P. Morgan Asset Management
Copper to Gold Ratio and U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield (Leading Indicator) The copper/gold ratio and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield are showing signs of a persistent divergence. Image: Morgan Stanley Research