S&P 500 Returns Following Major Geopolitical Events History shows the same script in over 20 major events since WWII: markets snap back quicker than feared, and those who hold their nerve often win. Panic usually hurts more than the shock itself. Image: Real Investment Advice
Distribution of S&P 500 Annual Returns Since 1928, double-digit annual losses in the S&P 500 have been the exception, not the rule, occurring only 12 times. Today, with record earnings, elevated margins, and sustained AI spending, momentum continues to favor higher prices. Image: Carson Investment Research
Valuations – 12-Month Forward P/E Multiple – MSCI Regions, STOXX 600 and S&P 500 Markets may have pulled back, but valuations are still elevated worldwide. Strong earnings are doing the work, and as long as that continues, multiples are unlikely to crack. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global Economy – GDP Growth Projections The IMF projects global growth at 3.1% in 2026 and 3.2% in 2027. Robust tech investment, steady policy support, and a surprisingly flexible private sector are keeping momentum alive despite the Middle East conflict. Image: International Monetary Fund
S&P 500 Drawdowns from 52-Week High and the First Two Years of a New Fed Chair’s Term Fed leadership changes don’t usually shake markets on their own. It’s the macro picture and prior positioning that set the tone. The shift only bites if it clashes with what markets were expecting in the first place. Image:…
S&P 500 12-Month Forward Returns After 10-Day Surges Of 10%+ History leans bullish: since 1950, a 10% surge in the S&P 500 over 10 days, like in April, has been followed by gains in 17 of 20 cases, averaging 19% over the following 12 months. Panic selling at the bottom rarely pays off. Image: Real…
S&P 500 – Investing at All-Time Highs vs. All Other Days Investing at all-time highs tends to spook investors, but the data suggests otherwise: S&P 500 forward returns have typically looked much like those from any other day. Missing the market has usually cost more than buying at the top. Image: Carson Investment Research
S&P 500 and Prediction Market Odds of the End to the Iran Conflict U.S. stocks advanced as the geopolitical mood brightened. The S&P 500 has followed every twist in expectations around the Iran conflict. Right now, sentiment is in the driver’s seat, not fundamentals. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. 10 Year Yield and S&P 500 For equities, focus less on where rates are and more on how fast they’re moving. U.S. stocks have rarely shown a strong link to the absolute level of rates, even when those levels are high by historical standards. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 and Three Weeks of +3% Gains in a Row The S&P 500 notched a third straight week of gains above 3%. Moves like this usually show up in snapback rallies after panic selling, not when stocks are hovering at record highs. Image: Bloomberg
Weekly Change in Equity Positioning Investors piled into equities, driving one of the biggest weekly jumps in positioning on record. Such bursts often reflect a market gripped by FOMO. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation