Category: Blog

S&P 500 – 13-Week and 26-Week Moving Average The S&P 500 remains in a bull trend with the 13-week moving average still above the 26-week, but the gap has narrowed enough to raise caution. Image: Bloomberg

Number of Consecutive Negative Weeks for the S&P 500 Five straight weeks of declines might rattle investors, but history reminds us that such runs often mark turning points rather than lasting downturns. Markets often rebound just when sentiment hits the lowest point. Image: Deutsche Bank

S&P 500 Weekly Losing Streaks If the S&P 500 ends in the red today, it would mark a record 10th consecutive losing Thursday. But the last trading day before Good Friday has a habit of swinging positive. Maybe today finally breaks the streak. Image: Carson Investment Research

Gold Price Forecast Goldman Sachs is holding firm on its bullish gold call, reaffirming a December 2026 target of $5,400 an ounce even as recent volatility and bouts of profit-taking test investor nerves. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Global Monetary Policy Stimulus and Global Manufacturing PMI The dominant macro theme for 2026 remains a global growth rebound, powered by two years of aggressive monetary easing that have set the stage for renewed economic momentum worldwide. Image: Topdown Charts

Investors Intelligence Bull-Bear Spread and S&P 500 Bulls are slipping out the side door. Over the past decade, every sustained S&P 500 gain came when the II bull‑bear spread topped 20%. That kind of conviction is missing now. Image: Hi Mount Research

Valuations – 12-Month Forward P/E Ranges (MSCI Regions) Despite the pullback, U.S. and global equity valuations remain elevated, with earnings momentum carrying the load. As long as companies keep delivering, those rich multiples may continue to hold up. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Quarterly YoY EPS Growth Relative to Consensus Expectations Consensus expects S&P 500 earnings to rise 12% year on year in 1Q 2026, led by strong tech‑sector profits. Once again, it’s the tech names doing the heavy lifting. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index The U.S. dollar’s sharp March rally fits the familiar script: investors rush back to the greenback when global risk sentiment turns sour, seeking its safety and deep liquidity. Image: Bloomberg

S&P 500 Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle Midterm election years have a rough reputation. Q2 is usually the weakest quarter in the presidential cycle for U.S. stocks. With Q1 set to close deeply in the red, could this time be the exception? Image: Carson Investment Research

Valuation – S&P 500 Forward P/E Multiple Since October, the S&P 500’s P/E has slipped from 23 to 19, showing investors have turned more cautious even as earnings hold steady. The mood has cooled, and risk is being repriced across the market. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research