Category: Blog

Valuations Across EM Markets The valuation gap in emerging markets is striking: India trades at a premium, whereas China’s pricing feels more in line with its history. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Big Tech’s Capital Expenditures Tech titans Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft plan to spend $650 billion this year into AI data centers, chips, and infrastructure, up 60% from last year as the race for AI dominance intensifies despite mounting execution risks. Image: Bloomberg

Macro Valuation Measure (S&P 500) U.S. stocks look rich compared with what today’s macro backdrop would normally justify. In previous cycles, such lofty valuations at these levels have often paved the way for years of subdued returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Bitcoin and Nasdaq 100 Bitcoin has closely tracked the Nasdaq 100 in recent years, mirroring shifts in market sentiment and risk appetite. That link is also relatively visible now, as the speculative mood encounters turbulence. Image: Topdown Charts

Average Percentile of Sentiment Indicators The mood is bullish for now, and we’re not near the extremes. Market participants aren’t showing signs of fatigue just yet, at least until the next headline hits. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Margin Debt as Percentage of Real Disposal Personal Income Margin debt sits at a record share of real disposable income. With incomes stagnating and borrowing surging, investors look vulnerable. Markets appear calm, for now, but they can turn fast. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 Aggregate vs Median Earnings Growth S&P 500 earnings rose 14.5% year-on-year in Q4 2025, exceeding initial estimates and marking the strongest quarterly gain in four years as profit growth broadened across sectors. Image: Deutsche Bank

Number of U.S. IPOs Wall Street is about to wake up again. After a sluggish stretch, the U.S. IPO machine is set to roar back to life in 2026, with some 120 deals tipped to raise $160 billion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Real Retail Sales and Recession U.S. real retail sales stand at -0.22% YoY. About 70% of U.S. GDP is personal consumption. In the past, U.S. real retail sales trended sideways before the recession began.

Valuation Percentile for Equity, Credit and Bond Valuations matter more over the medium term than in the moment. In years like 2025, robust growth let markets climb anyway, powered by rising profits despite high price tags. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Global Sector Fund Flows Excluding Tech Sector funds outside Tech have drawn a record $62 billion in inflows over the first five weeks of the year, more than the total for all of 2025. The rush shows investors are widening their bets beyond the usual tech favorites. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation