Inflation – U.S. ISM Services Prices vs. Super Core PCE History shows the U.S. ISM Services Prices Index tends to lead super core inflation by five months, which means sticky prices aren’t going anywhere soon. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Returns in January The S&P 500 is up 1% so far this month. January has finished higher three years in a row. Could this be the fourth? Since 1950, when January finishes in the green, the rest of the year has risen 87% of the time. Image: Carson Investment Research
Valuation – Mega-Cap Tech PEG Ratio Despite relying on forward growth estimates that often move, the Mega-Cap Tech PEG ratio (P/E to CY3 EPS growth) has fallen sharply, echoing the lows of 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
YTD Returns of Select Equity Indices Wall Street has lost some spark. The KOSPI, fired up by semiconductor leaders, has surged 15% this year, dwarfing the S&P 500’s and Nasdaq 100’s modest 1% gains. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Gold Price Forecast Goldman Sachs is turning more bullish on bullion, lifting its December 2026 forecast to $5,400 an ounce from $4,900, as private-sector diversification into gold starts to gain traction. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Weekly Announced Buybacks S&P 500 buyback announcements have cooled in recent months, but most analysts call it a pause after record highs. High rates and rising capex are weighing on activity, but resilient earnings keep the trend alive. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Net Weekly Global Flows: Equity vs. Money Markets Strong equity inflows and shrinking money market assets show investors are pulling cash out of safe havens and putting it back to work in stocks, giving new life to the “cash on the sidelines” story. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Gold vs. Bitcoin The gap between gold and bitcoin has widened in recent weeks. Safe‑haven flows have lifted gold, while bitcoin has been trading more like a high‑beta risk asset, closely tracking tech and growth stocks. Image: MarketDesk Research
S&P 500 Index The S&P 500 has spent much of the last 12 months trailing international benchmarks, something investors don’t see often. But should the U.S. dollar find its footing, the advantage enjoyed by emerging and foreign markets may not last. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. High Yield Credit Spreads vs. VIX Investors are pricing high-yield credit as if the good times will roll on. Spreads are tight, fundamentals look firm, but that very optimism risks shading into complacency. Active monitoring helps detect early signs of stress. Image: Topdown Charts
Deviation of Earnings Above-Below Long Term Growth Trend vs. Valuations When earnings drift too far from their long-term growth trend, markets tend to close the gap painfully. The gap widening today points to risks still under the radar. Image: Real Investment Advice