Market-Implied Probability of U.S. CPI Inflation Over the Next 5 Years Market pricing indicates a substantial likelihood that future U.S. headline CPI inflation rates will exceed 3%, with a 33% probability over the next five years. Image: Goldman Sachs
Return – Dow Jones U.S. Thematic Market Neutral Momentum Index With a remarkable 31% return in 2024, momentum investing has emerged as a standout equity strategy, poised for its best year since 2002. Image: Bloomberg
U.S. Household Equity Ownership vs. S&P 500 While the current market is supported by positive economic indicators and strong investor sentiment, high levels of household equity allocation pose risks that may lead to corrections and impact long-term returns. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Returns After a 1% or Greater Return on the First Day of the Santa Claus Rally Bulls are excited! Since 1969, each time the S&P 500 has gained 1% or more on the first day of the Santa Claus Rally, it has been positive 100% of the time during the full rally period,…
Earnings of Tech Companies While U.S. tech stocks are riding a wave of strong performance driven by both hype and solid earnings fundamentals, non-tech stocks face prolonged stagnation in earnings. Image: Topdown Charts
Contribution to Annual S&P 500 Return The ten largest stocks in the S&P 500 have significantly influenced its performance in recent years, driving returns while raising important questions about the risks associated with market concentration. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Even holiday cheer can’t mask the disappointment of unwanted Christmas gifts! Just as bears prefer gold over stocks for its safety and inflation hedge, we all secretly wish for gifts that sparkle! Happy Friday, Everyone! 😎
S&P 500 and 200-Day Moving Average The S&P 500’s ability to stay above its 200-day moving average without significant pullbacks in 2024 underscores a robust market environment characterized by strong investor confidence and positive economic indicators. Image: Bloomberg
Performance – S&P 500 Index – MSCI World Excluding United States Index With significant growth in the U.S. economy and favorable market conditions, the S&P 500 is set to record its largest gain relative to global markets since 1997. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Price Targets While bullish predictions for 2025 are possible, they are tempered by significant challenges stemming from high market valuations, economic uncertainties, and the potential for continued inflationary pressures. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Annual Performance Based How the Santa Claus Rally Does The Santa Claus rally historically indicates positive market momentum during the holiday season, which may extend into the following year and lead to further gains, signaling optimism for the entire year. Image: Carson Investment Research