Category: Blog

LME Copper Copper surged on shrinking supply and a weaker dollar, with investors wagering that demand from factories, clean energy, and AI will stay strong despite limited mine output. Image: Bloomberg

CAPE Valuations and 10 Year Annualized Real Return With the CAPE10 ratio hovering near rarely seen highs, the market is sending a warning signal. Past cycles point to negative real returns ahead. In other words, valuations this stretched rarely end well historically. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 Index Daily Returns For nearly a century, no day has given the S&P 500 more trouble than Monday, the market’s perennial weak spot. Even the markets get the Monday blues! Image: Carson Investment Research

World Technology Earnings Driven by innovation and a digital‑first economy, tech earnings continue to outpace global peers, with momentum still running strong. Digital transformation remains a powerful growth engine. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

MSCI Emerging Markets Index Emerging markets are back in play, lifted by a softer U.S. dollar, easing global rates, and fresh reforms from Beijing to New Delhi. The rally’s staying power, though, hinges on how long the dollar stays soft. Image: Bloomberg

U.S. Consumer Confidence in Higher Stock Prices vs. S&P 500 Trailing Valuations Confidence in future stock gains is fueling higher valuations, with investors paying up for growth they believe will last. But that conviction could prove fragile if those expectations falter. Image: Real Investment Advice

S&P 500 Index Returns vs. Drawdowns in Midterm Election Years Midterm years often test Wall Street’s nerve. Since 1930, the S&P 500 has typically fallen around 20% on average at some point, but those pullbacks have often marked the start of strong buying opportunities. Image: Ned Davis Research

Valuations Across EM Markets The valuation gap in emerging markets is striking: India trades at a premium, whereas China’s pricing feels more in line with its history. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Big Tech’s Capital Expenditures Tech titans Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, and Microsoft plan to spend $650 billion this year into AI data centers, chips, and infrastructure, up 60% from last year as the race for AI dominance intensifies despite mounting execution risks. Image: Bloomberg

Macro Valuation Measure (S&P 500) U.S. stocks look rich compared with what today’s macro backdrop would normally justify. In previous cycles, such lofty valuations at these levels have often paved the way for years of subdued returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Average Percentile of Sentiment Indicators The mood is bullish for now, and we’re not near the extremes. Market participants aren’t showing signs of fatigue just yet, at least until the next headline hits. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research