U.S. Treasury Index – Annual Return U.S. Treasuries are on track for their strongest annual performance since 2020, lifted by Fed rate cuts and a cooling labor market that is fueling bets on more monetary easing. Image: Bloomberg
Real S&P 500 Index The current market cycle still feels incomplete. After strong rallies, markets often retreat to test previous highs. That pullback, though painful, often clears the air and sets up the next move higher. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Returns in December During Year One of the Presidential Cycle U.S. stocks have finished December in the red during the first year of the presidential cycle just once in the past 40 years, a record strong enough to keep the bulls smiling with an average 1.9% gain. Image: Carson Investment Research
Data Centre Electricity Consumption by Country (Forecast to 2030) Data center electricity use may triple by 2030 due to AI growth, straining energy infrastructure, challenging capacity, sustainability, and reliable power supply across global grids. Image: Deutsche Bank Research
Median S&P 500 Performance After Fed Cuts Rates The S&P 500 has typically rallied about 50% in the two years after the Fed begins cutting rates. But when those cuts hit during recessions, those gains often don’t last. Image: Deutsche Bank
Median U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield Performance in Fed Rate Cuts Cycles Fed rate cuts usually pull short-term yields lower, but long Treasury bonds don’t always fall in line. Inflation expectations, shifting bets on future policy, or a flood of new debt can just as easily push them higher. Image: Deutsche Bank
S&P 500 Valuations vs. 6-Month Forward Returns Valuations can help frame long-term return expectations, but they rarely say much about what markets will do in the short run. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Manufacturing PMI and Global Leading Indicator Leading indicators are turning higher, signaling a growing chance of a global cyclical upswing into the first half of 2026. Image: Bloomberg
Returns for S&P 500 by Sector Since the Launch of ChatGPT on November 30th 2022 The communication services and IT sectors have far outpaced the S&P 500 since ChatGPT’s launch three years ago, powered by massive earnings growth and deep capital investment in AI. Image: Deutsche Bank
VIX – Volatility Index The VIX has retreated hard from recent highs, signaling that investors are less rattled by inflated AI and tech valuations and more hopeful about Fed cuts on the horizon. Market confidence is making a comeback. Image: Bloomberg
Performance – Bloomberg U.S. 500 Ex Mag 7 Index vs. FTSE All-World Ex U.S. Index The AI boom remains a U.S. mega-cap story for now, leaving the global balance mostly untouched. Image: Bloomberg