U.S. Share Buyback Announcements Bulls are right to smile: At $6–7 billion a day through year-end, U.S. corporate buybacks are the market’s invisible hand—lifting prices and muting every attempt at a selloff. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – Shiller Cyclically-Adjusted S&P 500 Price-to-Earnings Ratio By the Shiller CAPE’s measure, U.S. stocks are back in the stratosphere — the kind that’s thrilled investors on the way up, and burned them on the way down. It’s a level that has often meant thinner returns and rising risk. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
U.S. Equity Returns It’s not a bubble—at least not yet. But with AI money flooding in and U.S. companies rethinking how they raise and spend cash, investors can’t afford to ignore valuations, balance sheets, or results. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Returns into Year-End Following >15% Through October When Wall Street catches fire, it usually keeps burning. In years when the S&P 500 has already surged more than 15% by late October, it has added another 4.7% on average through year‑end—winning 20 out of 21 times since 1950. Image: Truist
Average Equity Fund Flow by Calendar Month Over the Past Decade Excluding U.S. Election Years History says year-end momentum has legs: outside U.S. election years, equity flows spike in December and stay strong through Q1—adding weight to the case for retail strength through early 2026. Image: J.P. Morgan Flows and Liquidity
Performance of a Basket of Stocks with the Most Net Call Volume in the Previous Week The latest U.S.-China trade escalation is a reminder of how fast momentum-driven strategies can crumble once volatility resurfaces and the market’s mood turns. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Performance During and After Government Shutdowns Even the longest government shutdown in U.S. history couldn’t rattle Wall Street. Stocks held firm—and historically, once Washington gets back to work, equities have gained an average of 12.7% over the next 12 months. Image: Carson Investment Research
Valuation – S&P 500 Real Value Index Since 1871, the S&P 500 real total returns, dividends reinvested, have averaged 6.9% a year. The U.S. Real Value Index has always mean-reverted — and right now, it is between 10% and 20% above fair value. Image: TS Lombard
S&P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year Markets don’t move in straight lines. Since 1980, the S&P 500 has averaged double‑digit annual gains, even as it routinely fell an average 14% at some point each year — a reminder that volatility is the price of long-term returns. Image: Carson Investment Research
U.S. Labor Productivity A pandemic-driven productivity surge has put U.S. real output per hour 1.7% above its previous trajectory, providing tailwinds to economic performance and keeping the American growth story alive and well. Image: Deutsche Bank
Bitcoin Price and 365-Day Moving Average A break below the 365-day moving average puts Bitcoin on the defensive. Add in thin dip demand, margin pressure, and souring sentiment, and the setup looks ripe for institutional players to stay sidelined until clarity emerges. Image: Bloomberg