Thursday Losing Streaks for the S&P 500

S&P 500 Weekly Losing Streaks If the S&P 500 ends in the red today, it would mark a record 10th consecutive losing Thursday. But the last trading day before Good Friday has a habit of swinging positive. Maybe today finally breaks the streak. Image: Carson Investment Research

Gold Price Forecast

Gold Price Forecast Goldman Sachs is holding firm on its bullish gold call, reaffirming a December 2026 target of $5,400 an ounce even as recent volatility and bouts of profit-taking test investor nerves. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Investors Intelligence Bull-Bear Spread and S&P 500

Investors Intelligence Bull-Bear Spread and S&P 500 Bulls are slipping out the side door. Over the past decade, every sustained S&P 500 gain came when the II bull‑bear spread topped 20%. That kind of conviction is missing now. Image: Hi Mount Research

Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index

Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index The U.S. dollar’s sharp March rally fits the familiar script: investors rush back to the greenback when global risk sentiment turns sour, seeking its safety and deep liquidity. Image: Bloomberg

S&P 500 Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle

S&P 500 Quarterly Returns Based on the Four-Year Presidential Cycle Midterm election years have a rough reputation. Q2 is usually the weakest quarter in the presidential cycle for U.S. stocks. With Q1 set to close deeply in the red, could this time be the exception? Image: Carson Investment Research

Nasdaq 100 to S&P 500 Valuation Spread

Nasdaq 100 to S&P 500 Valuation Spread The last time the Nasdaq 100 traded this cheap versus the S&P 500, it staged its biggest outperformance in a year. Honestly, that’s tough to ignore. Image: Bloomberg

Brent Crude Oil Futures

Brent Crude Oil Futures Markets are betting the Middle East conflict won’t drag on, a view reflected in oil futures prices. The curve remains in backwardation, indicating tight near‑term supply but confidence that any disruption will prove short‑lived. Image: Alpine Macro

S&P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year

S&P 500 Index Max Pullback per Calendar Year Markets are never a straight ride up. Since 1980, the S&P 500 has averaged double‑digit gains while dropping roughly 14% each year. Volatility is simply the cost of long-term reward. Image: Carson Investment Research

Fed Funds Rate

Fed Funds Rate Markets are now pricing in a meaningful chance of a Fed rate hike in 2026, something that looked very unlikely at the start of the year. Image: MarketDesk Research

U.S. Unemployment Rate and Recessions

U.S. Unemployment Rate and Recessions The unemployment rate moving above its three-year average has preceded every U.S. recession since 1950. The latest crossover came in June 2024. Since then, no recession has followed, raising questions if this time is different. Image: Real Investment Advice