S&P 500 Aggregate vs Median Earnings Growth S&P 500 earnings rose 14.5% year-on-year in Q4 2025, exceeding initial estimates and marking the strongest quarterly gain in four years as profit growth broadened across sectors. Image: Deutsche Bank
Number of U.S. IPOs Wall Street is about to wake up again. After a sluggish stretch, the U.S. IPO machine is set to roar back to life in 2026, with some 120 deals tipped to raise $160 billion. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation Percentile for Equity, Credit and Bond Valuations matter more over the medium term than in the moment. In years like 2025, robust growth let markets climb anyway, powered by rising profits despite high price tags. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Global Sector Fund Flows Excluding Tech Sector funds outside Tech have drawn a record $62 billion in inflows over the first five weeks of the year, more than the total for all of 2025. The rush shows investors are widening their bets beyond the usual tech favorites. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Earnings Revision Breadth The relationship isn’t perfect, but S&P 500 EPS revision breadth has often led market moves, showing a strong historical link with the index’s six‑month trailing returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Valuation – S&P 500 Shiller Cyclically-Adjusted P/E Ratio vs. Model-Predicted P/E Ratio U.S. equities look expensive relative to both their own history and what today’s macro backdrop would normally justify. In past cycles, such stretches of pricey valuations have often been followed by years of subpar returns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Sector Weights in the S&P 500 U.S. defensive sectors, excluding pharma and biotech, remain near their lowest share of the S&P 500 since 1990, even after a tech-led rotation nudged investors to trim some of their technology exposure. Image: Deutsche Bank
Factset S&P 500 Annual Bottom Up EPS Actual and Estimates Forecast upgrades for 2026 and 2027 keep rolling in, giving the S&P 500 another reason to push higher. The bulls still have the wind at their backs, and momentum isn’t showing any signs of slowing. Image: Carson Investment Research
Valuations – 12-Month Fwd P/E Multiple. Worldscope Europe Sector Indices If you look at today’s valuation at 16.8x P/E and consensus revenues growth at around 9% annually, the risk of a slowdown in Software & IT Services is at least partly priced in already. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Nasdaq After the Netscape IPO and ChatGPT Came Out It’s not unusual for U.S. tech to lag in the third year after a big innovation, with the post‑Netscape years offering a perfect textbook case. Image: Carson Investment Research
Valuation – Software Forward P/E Software valuations have come under heavy pressure, with the forward P/E multiple sliding to 20 times, a level investors haven’t seen since 2014. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research