Buybacks – Announced Share Repurchases for S&P 500 Companies In 2025, Corporate America is going all‑in on buybacks, unleashing more than $1 trillion to lift stock prices and keep the Wall Street mood buoyant. Image: J.P. Morgan
Returns – Gold vs. S&P 500 vs. MSCI World $4,000 gold isn’t just a headline—it’s the latest move in a powerhouse rally that has left equities in the dust since the millennium. Image: Bloomberg
Year/Year EPS Growth – Magnificent 7 vs. S&P 493 EPS growth for the Magnificent 7 is expected to cool to 14% in Q3, down from 28%. Mega-cap tech names should continue posting robust earnings growth, but the outsized premium that’s defined the trade might lose some of its shine in 2026. Image: Goldman Sachs Global…
Cumulative Bull vs. Bear Markets Why do bear markets matter? Because most of the gains of an inflation-adjusted bull run can be erased when the next downturn hits. Image: Real Investment Advice
S&P 500 Bull Markets Eight years and 288% gains—that’s on average the bull market playbook over the past 50 years. As today’s bull market enters its third year, there’s reason to believe the party is far from over. Image: Carson Investment Research
Probability of U.S. Recession In the Next 1 Year Goldman Sachs sees a 30% chance of a U.S. recession within the next year—higher than the long-run norm, but still pointing to only moderate downside risks. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
Contribution of Sector Groups to S&P 500 Earnings Growth MCG and Tech have all but carried the market lately, fueling nearly 90% of the S&P 500’s earnings growth. Wall Street’s climb is still a tech‑powered story, with breadth across other sectors stubbornly missing. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Large Cap Equity Positioning Markets overall are far from stretched, but in large-cap equities, positioning has climbed to the 82nd percentile, where momentum in big-name stocks is clearly picking up. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Change in Consensus EPS Big Tech still runs the show—2026 earnings forecasts are racing higher for the giants, while the rest of the S&P 493 trail behind in their shadow. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research
S&P 500 Quarterly Earnings Growth Deutsche Bank sees S&P 500 earnings accelerating, forecasting growth to climb from 9.3% last quarter to 10.7% in Q3, boosted by supportive macro trends and strong company performances—well ahead of the more cautious consensus. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
S&P 500 Index and Barclays Equity Timing Indicator Barclays’ Equity Timing Indicator—a gauge of 19 market and economic signals—is tilting bullish, implying an 82% chance the S&P 500 rises over the next two months, with past setups since 2015 delivering roughly 4% on average. Image: Bloomberg