Category: Blog

S&P 500 Cycle Composite The S&P 500 Cycle Composite forecasts a robust performance in the first half of 2025, followed by a pullback in the third quarter, and concludes with a year-end rally. Image: Ned Davis Research

Flows into U.S. Equity ETFs and Mutual Funds Looks like U.S. equities hit the jackpot as they have experienced significant inflows recently, totaling $186 billion over the past nine weeks, marking the largest inflows on record. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Spread of Nasdaq-100 Earnings Yield Over 10-Year U.S. Treasury Yield Investing in the Nasdaq 100 presents both opportunities and risks, particularly in the current economic climate characterized by high bond yields and stock market exuberance. Image: Bloomberg

S&P 500 Equal Weighted Index – S&P 500 Cap Weighted Index While the S&P 500 has shown strong performance in 2024, the dominance of a few tech giants has raised questions about market concentration and the sustainability of such gains moving forward. Image: Bloomberg

ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Bears in 2024 hate Fridays more than a cat hates a bath, as U.S. stocks have exhibited a pattern of strong performance on the last trading day of the week. Happy Friday The 13th, Everyone! 😎

Bond Volatility – MOVE Index The recent decline in U.S. rates volatility, as shown by the MOVE index, is like finding a calm sea after a storm—great news for both the bond market and the broader economy. Image: The Daily Shot

Seasonality – S&P 500 Index Returns in December Bulls are buzzing with excitement again! While December is typically strong for U.S. stocks, the best may be yet to come, as the majority of gains usually occur in the month’s second half. Image: Carson Investment Research

One Year S&P 500 Returns Post the Election Date Since 1960, the S&P 500 has shown a tendency for positive returns in the year following U.S. elections—proving that while politicians may change, the stock market still prefers to keep its party hat on! Image: Societe Generale Cross Asset Research

Gold Net Long Managed Money on COMEX Gold’s appeal as a safe-haven asset historically strengthens during periods of uncertainty, leading to increased investor positioning. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

U.S. Consumers – Stock Prices and Income Expectations U.S. consumers are experiencing a notable rise in optimism regarding stock market returns for the next 12 months, but this may lead to disappointment as their outlook on income growth does not reflect the same enthusiasm. Image: Deutsche Bank

Median Real Net Worth by U.S. Income Quantiles Recovering 2007 levels of median real net worth across all U.S. income quantiles took 15 years—a remarkably long time. Image: Deutsche Bank