Category: Blog

Earnings Revisions Strategy Outperforms Around First Fed Rate Cut Around first Fed rate cut, earnings revisions is the top factor out of 200 strategies. Image: Ned Davis Research

U.S. Population Growth vs. U.S. 10-Year Treasury Bond Yield U.S. demographics explain the 10-year Treasury bond yield, due to low inflation. The U.S. 10-year bond yield reflects inflation and growth expectations, and working age population growth contributes to inflation and GDP growth. Image: Paolo Cardena

U.S. Debt Ceiling and U.S. Nominal GDP The statutory debt limit, also called the debt ceiling, is the statutory maximum of money the U.S. Treasury is allowed to borrow.Now, it is higher than U.S. nominal GDP. Image: Jeroen Blokland

Is The U.S. Stock Market Overvalued? S&P 500 Valuation: the chart shows that the U.S. stock market is not cheap. Based on the forward P/E ratio, the S&P 500 is not extremely overvalued either. You may also like our “Stock Market Valuation.” Image: Bianco Research

The Immigrant-Founded Fortune 500 Immigrants and their children have founded nearly half of all U.S. Fortune 500 companies. Image: Axios

Global Fixed Income Market In Different Yield Buckets Nowadays, the scarcity of yield with 20% of global bonds below 0%. Image: ICE Data Indices, Bank of America Merrill Lynch

Copper to Gold Ratio and U.S. 10-Year Treasury Yield The chart suggests that the correlation between the copper/gold ratio and the US 10-year Treasury yield is still valid. Image: Nordea and Macrobond

Countries With the Highest Housing Bubble Risks Detecting and measuring asset bubbles is not always an easy task, but in many countries, housing prices are rising faster than rental rates. Image: Visual Capitalist

When Will the Next Global Recession Begin? 55% of investors expect a global recession by 2020 and 45% in 2021 or later. Who is right? Image: Barclays Research

Maximum Intra-Year Drawdown for the S&P 500 Since 1950, the median maximum drawdown for the S&P 500 is -10.6% and the average is -13.5%. You may also like “S&P 500 Index Drawdowns From 2 Year Highs.” Image: Of Dollars And Data

Maximum Drawdown vs. Annual S&P 500 Returns The annual return of the S&P 500 can be positive, even after a large drawdown. Image: Of Dollars And Data