ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Why are bears reluctant to invest in U.S. stocks? They view the bull market as nothing more than fake news—and they can’t bear the idea of losing their cherished money (or honey)! Have a Great Week, Everyone! 😎
Valuation – Nasdaq 100 Fwd P/E Tech stocks are priced at a premium, with forward valuations significantly above their 10-year average. This rich valuation assumes technology companies will maintain their earnings leadership. Image: Bloomberg
Crypto Fund Flows Crypto funds have experienced a remarkable surge in inflows, reflecting signs of optimism among investors in the crypto market. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
Correlation Between Top 10 and S&P 500 While the concentration of large-cap stocks in the U.S. equity market is a topic of discussion, the evidence suggests that its impact on market behavior is not as alarming as some might believe. Image: S&P Dow Jones Indices
S&P 500 Around Close Presidential Elections The cyclical nature of equity markets around U.S. elections often leads to rallies after the election as policy uncertainties fade. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
One-Day Move in U.S. Stocks that Beat on 4Q EPS in Excess of S&P 500 The market’s positive response to earnings beats, despite uncertainties surrounding Trump’s policies and the Fed’s direction, suggests that strong corporate performance is outweighing other factors in driving investor sentiment. Image: Bloomberg
S&P 500 Annual Performance Based On What The First Five Days Do A bullish start to the year for the S&P 500 is often seen as a good omen. When the index rises in the first five trading days, it has historically led to stronger annual returns, averaging 14.2% and being positive 81.3% of the…
S&P 500 and Trend Channel The S&P 500 remains within its established uptrend channel post-Global Financial Crisis, with projections ranging from 6,000 to 7,500 by the end of 2025. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
ISABELNET Cartoon of the Day Greenland is not for sale – it’s a country with its own people and culture, not a discount warehouse for icebergs! Have a Great Week, Everyone! 😎
CTAs Exposure to Equities At the 71st percentile, the current CTA equity allocation indicates a robust positioning without reaching excessive levels. Image: Deutsche Bank Asset Allocation
U.S. Equity Index P/E Valuations vs. History Current valuations for tech and S&P 500 indexes exceed historical averages. This doesn’t guarantee immediate drops but implies possibly reduced future gains and increased vulnerability to market downturns. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research