S&P 500 Total Return Decomposition

S&P 500 Total Return Decomposition Goldman Sachs expects S&P 500 returns to be moderate in 2022 and beyond, driven primarily by earnings growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Inflation – S&P 500 LTM Sales Growth vs. Core CPI Since 1970

Inflation – S&P 500 LTM Sales Growth vs. Core CPI Since 1970 Rising inflation tends to boost S&P 500 earnings. According to Goldman Sachs, a 100bp increase in average annual core CPI would lift the S&P 500 EPS to $170 in 2021. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Trailing 4-Quarter EPS

S&P 500 Trailing 4-Quarter EPS Goldman Sachs expects S&P 500 earnings to contract by 21% in 2020, before rebounding by 30% next year and 11% in 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

Annual S&P 500 EPS Growth Through 2022

Annual S&P 500 EPS Growth Through 2022 Goldman Sachs expects S&P 500 earnings to contract by 21% this year, before rebounding by 30% in 2021 and 11% in 2022. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Price Return vs. 2021 EPS Revisions

S&P 500 Price Return vs. 2021 EPS Revisions This chart highlights the positive correlation between price return and 2021 earnings revisions. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research

S&P 500 Year/Year EPS Growth

S&P 500 Year/Year EPS Growth Goldman Sachs maintains the 2020 S&P 500 EPS estimate of $110 and adjusts the quarterly path of earnings growth. Image: Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research